South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6882d77f86857ad71738f2e81523733273091c573ab73c72e7a6fdd583c137fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,302$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.95 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 30c | 376.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 301.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 29c | 293.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 275$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 269.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 72c | 123.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 30c | 107.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 71c | 102.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 76c | 102.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 25c | 94.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 31c | 87.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 74c | 69.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 26c | 62.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 71c | 58.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 58.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Under | 18c | 56.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 70c | 40.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 71c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…5c3abacked Over | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 70c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…0cf2backed Over | 78c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…2d69backed Over | 75c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.