Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf14b2b96790c6257a13dd916cb9b3875fe85d5e6da0c808e7a936bb5c08fe887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Leviatan Esports | 30c | 656.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids | 68c | 499.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Leviatan Esports | 36c | 386$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed RED Canids | 70c | 294.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed RED Canids | 69c | 286.31$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 62c | 253.51$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked RED Canids | 70c | 214.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked RED Canids | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 191.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked Leviatan Esports | 38c | 188.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked RED Canids | 62c | 155.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…da18backed Leviatan Esports | 37c | 129.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Leviatan Esports | 34c | 125.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Leviatan Esports | 34c | 110.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed RED Canids | 67c | 107.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked Leviatan Esports | 25c | 98.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 92.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked RED Canids | 70c | 79.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RED Canids | 64c | 71.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids | 68c | 71.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…72ffbacked RED Canids | 72c | 57.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed RED Canids | 73c | 55.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed RED Canids | 73c | 51.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Leviatan Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 47.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed RED Canids | 71c | 45.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked RED Canids | 51c | 37.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed RED Canids | 67c | 35.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 131 | 56.5%74 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…f430backed RED Canids | 70c | 33.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed RED Canids | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed RED Canids | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Leviatan Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonRED Canids won
- LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.