TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof Leviatan Esports, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x540d…122bbacked Leviatan Esports25c5,714$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4254057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66a…800ebacked Leviatan Esports21c5,479$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.86549.2%32 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Leviatan Esports22c5,364$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.261,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed Leviatan Esports20c4,962$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.1418633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Leviatan Esports32c4,873$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.681,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed RED Canids79c4,838$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.0354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Leviatan Esports15c3,168$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.6154246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked RED Canids73c3,077$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.0795541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked RED Canids78c2,571$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0385046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Leviatan Esports21c2,543$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.321,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed RED Canids72c2,508$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.2776642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids75c2,275$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.8985942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Leviatan Esports18c2,216$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1596948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Leviatan Esports20c1,998$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6626443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaed4…09afbacked Leviatan Esports1c1,801$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids71c1,500$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.381,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Leviatan Esports20c1,194$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.83,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed Leviatan Esports19c1,161$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.933351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed RED Canids78c1,103$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3939246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba90…b283backed Leviatan Esports24c1,029$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4916925.4%43 W · 126 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed RED Canids79c998.78$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7496350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked RED Canids80c988$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.684360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed RED Canids75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20035546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Leviatan Esports20c764.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.551,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Leviatan Esports2c750$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Leviatan Esports18c744.77$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4510350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leviatan Esports18c661.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.662,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd046…416ebacked Leviatan Esports18c635.53$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.987646.1%35 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Leviatan Esports19c608.25$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1928042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Leviatan Esports16c606.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.031,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked RED Canids78c600$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13064849.8%323 W · 325 L-25.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27a…d8c4backed Leviatan Esports16c587.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.797460.8%45 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a7…6f38backed Leviatan Esports20c575.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.177466.2%49 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Leviatan Esports12c552.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked RED Canids80c494$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.815357.5%88 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb33…fadebacked Leviatan Esports13c491$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.833878.9%30 W · 8 L+7.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x70f1…d1bfbacked Leviatan Esports11c458.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed RED Canids77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7689…af2abacked Leviatan Esports22c399.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9917535.4%62 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Leviatan Esports22c387.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.041533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed Leviatan Esports23c380.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.357368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed RED Canids80c370.5$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.15246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids78c340.23$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.851,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f9…895dbacked Leviatan Esports23c334.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.910954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Leviatan Esports17c327.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.641,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Leviatan Esports24c286.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.721,06028.5%302 W · 758 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed Leviatan Esports19c251.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5725945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Leviatan Esports21c240.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5269841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Leviatan Esports19c234.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.452,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Leviatan Esports23c220.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5833040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Leviatan Esports20c204.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4933125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2425…9becbacked Leviatan Esports26c191.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.684124.4%10 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked Leviatan Esports10c170.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0335346.2%163 W · 190 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed RED Canids77c162$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2674344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed RED Canids78c159.48$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Leviatan Esports25c152.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.227254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked RED Canids78c146.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.317840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce78…86fabacked Leviatan Esports21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.587136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed RED Canids78c133.61$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.99743.3%42 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Leviatan Esports19c128.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.420542.9%88 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f1…e639backed Leviatan Esports12c126.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.175251.9%27 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Leviatan Esports17c125.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8557349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Leviatan Esports19c114.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.171,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed RED Canids77c105.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3874250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked RED Canids80c101.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3262558.7%367 W · 258 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Leviatan Esports19c101.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0649514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfdaa…ed87backed Leviatan Esports22c101.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.255850%29 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Leviatan Esports16c100.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0456317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Leviatan Esports11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd1…3f34backed Leviatan Esports20c98.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.852931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked RED Canids79c98.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Leviatan Esports20c98.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7236647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Leviatan Esports25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8855347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…e125backed Leviatan Esports21c95.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208347%39 W · 44 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed RED Canids80c91.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3828827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5441…cb00backed Leviatan Esports15c91.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.912623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Leviatan Esports23c85.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.688540%34 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Leviatan Esports12c85.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2348652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Leviatan Esports17c81.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0642250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed RED Canids78c79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3813151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa1…f3f9backed Leviatan Esports18c77.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed RED Canids80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1539056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Leviatan Esports20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.285750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Leviatan Esports15c69.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3658420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x73a1…1606backed RED Canids77c63.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.442441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Leviatan Esports16c62.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0376030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Leviatan Esports20c59.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda5…2471backed Leviatan Esports21c55.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7723769.6%165 W · 72 L+30.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Leviatan Esports31c53.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5637548%180 W · 195 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c0…32c4backed Leviatan Esports23c51.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…a838backed RED Canids77c51.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.698051.3%41 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed RED Canids80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed RED Canids77c44.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9816950.3%85 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked Leviatan Esports25c44.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.018156.8%46 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…8029backed RED Canids75c41.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d9…f0b0backed RED Canids77c35.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.176235.5%22 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe679…7662backed RED Canids77c23.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.423246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8d…ffbebacked RED Canids76c19.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.543253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.