World Politics · resolved market
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a196362d0cbd39ee1d90cf618bacc2792887f4e36d43d211276929235032ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 26c | 6,684$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.06 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…3e09backed Yes | 30c | 3,044$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…de0cbacked No | 1c | 2,209$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,498$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.51 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 27c | 1,241$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 72c | 1,152$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Yes | 28c | 1,083$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 79c | 979.92$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 72c | 869.47$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.81 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 22c | 769.29$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.96 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…dc52backed No | 13c | 727.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…94c7backed Yes | 19c | 505.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +313.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 71c | 505$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.55 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 30c | 467.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.01 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 69c | 430.31$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 14c | 320.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…a175backed Yes | 26c | 199.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 73c | 183.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 167.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…92a0backed Yes | 28c | 163.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 150.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…06d5backed Yes | 42c | 144.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 22c | 137.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…c51ebacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 112.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…67d0backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 76c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 73c | 92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…0e43backed Yes | 16c | 81.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 72c | 79.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 47c | 75.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 75c | 71.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 70.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 76c | 70$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 27c | 69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…d52bbacked Yes | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…0a48backed No | 75c | 67.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 65.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…8713backed Yes | 28c | 48.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 70c | 36.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418c…6962backed No | 76c | 32.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…5517backed No | 76c | 30.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…c4e8backed No | 62c | 30.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 74c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 77c | 21.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…812bbacked No | 75c | 21.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked No | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 77c | 18.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…e89fbacked No | 75c | 17.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 73c | 15.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…f9d7backed Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Kla Tham Party (KT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.