World Politics · resolved market
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156461f33e59a7742fdd17c0aa23ea7a18ae16b2d16bbe3b31029ed6c81e9b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc15…2182backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…f6c6backed Yes | 9c | 2,460$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,398$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…8b74backed Yes | 13c | 2,366$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 9c | 2,363$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…62d6backed Yes | 11c | 2,226$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…76debacked Yes | 8c | 2,069$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 7c | 1,816$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,512$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…e51dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,504$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,237$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,167$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…ddf5backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 8c | 979.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…bacbbacked Yes | 6c | 834.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Yes | 11c | 763.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 737.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 6c | 727.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 19c | 617.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 561.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 10c | 523.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Yes | 19c | 522.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…dc52backed Yes | 6c | 440.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 435$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…b902backed Yes | 6c | 403.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 7c | 358.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 347.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…67d0backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…4525backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…b7d3backed Yes | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 9c | 311.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…0d27backed Yes | 10c | 303$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…d03abacked Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…65b9backed Yes | 11c | 299.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…de0cbacked Yes | 13c | 232.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…38debacked Yes | 13c | 231.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 216.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 11c | 212.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99c9backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 9c | 198.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 177.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…8713backed Yes | 8c | 175.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…cc5dbacked Yes | 16c | 167.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 7c | 166.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…d6cabacked Yes | 35c | 163.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…b054backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 147.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…86e3backed Yes | 11c | 143$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…70afbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…f1c3backed Yes | 10c | 123.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…0e43backed Yes | 11c | 104.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…d2d7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d9…d867backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 78c | 95.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…4384backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Kla Tham Party (KT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.