World Politics · resolved market
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc464f31a19640c521dafbd1c74a41efcdd6678d414160caf809661d4b37b6916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 2c | 3,441$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc15…2182backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 3c | 2,420$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…f6c6backed Yes | 3c | 2,375$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…1a9abacked Yes | 6c | 2,345$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Yes | 10c | 2,004$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…931abacked Yes | 10c | 1,969$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Yes | 6c | 1,741$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,695$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…bacbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,575$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…3ab2backed Yes | 4c | 1,548$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 7c | 1,424$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…d03abacked Yes | 6c | 1,125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 1,089$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…67d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,024$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…025dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,018$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 1,017$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…e51dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Yes | 11c | 1,004$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…510bbacked Yes | 3c | 985.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 10c | 936.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 5c | 904.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…e344backed Yes | 6c | 800.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 6c | 778.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 621.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 577$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 555.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 4c | 554.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ad…8c07backed Yes | 7c | 542.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 5c | 535.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 11c | 530$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 5c | 512$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…b032backed Yes | 6c | 509.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…93fbbacked Yes | 2c | 457.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…4a8bbacked Yes | 9c | 444.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 423.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 414.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 405.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…0d27backed Yes | 10c | 400.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…65b9backed Yes | 11c | 395.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf772…dbf9backed Yes | 4c | 365.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 306.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…4384backed Yes | 3c | 286$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…e487backed Yes | 9c | 213.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…856dbacked Yes | 8c | 206.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…21aabacked Yes | 6c | 191.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…de0cbacked Yes | 9c | 181.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…dea6backed Yes | 6c | 171.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…f4e7backed Yes | 6c | 164.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 8c | 157.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Yes | 7c | 157.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…95fcbacked Yes | 11c | 132.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…6a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 100.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Kla Tham Party (KT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.