World Politics · resolved market
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa3f4146414d1c53f92f15f9f00ccdf2a533ee385ace95bb74795d17077bff72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad88…662dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 2c | 10,142$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…80aebacked Yes | 2c | 8,077$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 3c | 6,684$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,103$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 2c | 4,640$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,921$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…f6c6backed Yes | 2c | 2,751$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,537$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Yes | 3c | 2,525$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 77c | 1,850$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…92a0backed Yes | 3c | 1,801$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…67d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,532$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,354$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 2c | 1,215$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,188$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…e0f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,051$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 956.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…3e09backed Yes | 25c | 910$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…dc52backed Yes | 6c | 856.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 2c | 800.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 787.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 774.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 770.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 3c | 747.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 722.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 689.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 618.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 3c | 491$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 371.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 4c | 343.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 279.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…cb4bbacked Yes | 6c | 202.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +135%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Kla Tham Party (KT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.