TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,930 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under33c10,266$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,878.721,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under34c5,204$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.7390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over67c4,925$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.8839749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641c…9a65backed Under47c4,288$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.511855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c4,101$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.442,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c3,002$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.7919648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.971,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Over59c2,945$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.3512653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Under45c2,751$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.951160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over62c2,461$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.931540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over67c2,418$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.0628240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over63c1,912$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.7516038.8%62 W · 98 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over67c1,724$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.0814852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over66c1,139$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75213960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over50c1,100$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9837039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under34c1,075$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed Over49c999.98$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.995431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over66c848$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.6812324.4%30 W · 93 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under34c809.66$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.741,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Under34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5283148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Over60c782.15$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.2594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…e946backed Over53c772.71$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4108647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over66c700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46232752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3039…9ed0backed Over64c662.9$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.264839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Under70c554.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5110756.1%60 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Over19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over55c472.19$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0813336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b9…aa71backed Over69c471.31$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over66c432$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4821249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1054…0f98backed Under35c378.27$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Under34c370$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.211244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Over52c307$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6866445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19886649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Over67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20142835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f43dbacked Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93e9…9010backed Over54c300$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1634531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Over67c299.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0113350.4%67 W · 66 L-14.8wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Under34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1218742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Under52c286.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.385431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over61c284.84$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6753047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9120…ae70backed Over60c264.87$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.923551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under40c259.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.111450.9%58 W · 56 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under34c247.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3332345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over53c207.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.921,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Over32c205.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2619251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab8…7a9fbacked Over56c202.44$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.313441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Over66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under45c180.15$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.083231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Over60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over60c167.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over41c166.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.52,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Under27c164.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202875%21 W · 7 L+8.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+100.5%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Over65c162$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.35244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Over61c159.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.338535.3%30 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fb…66b2backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick68cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7bc9…1076backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb668…5e98backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc834…685fbacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b5…0a9bbacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc995…a06dbacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…f862backed Over66c145.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Over29c143.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1316143.5%70 W · 91 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Over67c139.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.48156.8%46 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed Under52c136.54$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7593…e0a1backed Over36c133.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.763551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over66c130.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8648042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Over10c126.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3b…b309backed Over66c123.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Over67c122.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over60c111.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6749346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5e…81ebbacked Over66c110.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6321…86fcbacked Over66c109.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under34c104.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1616935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Over67c104.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Over10c102.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over53c101.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.454054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6617345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9194…2ee1backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6614846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f1…7e14backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.54443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Over60c99.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db3…9004backed Over68c91.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.12475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Over55c91.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032650.3%164 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa793…7a2fbacked Over67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Under56c86.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162558.7%367 W · 258 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Over60c83.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb1…24dfbacked Over66c82.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.251163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over55c80.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9614935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under52c79.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0817544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.