Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af28e8c0a5fb9905e2718e4336ad3013b563b3edaecf0bcdded81454207d421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 76c | 665.33$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 30c | 582.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 24c | 537.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…9a65backed Over | 20c | 474.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 70c | 466.81$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f108backed Over | 27c | 441$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a78…896ebacked Over | 27c | 397$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb10…9ae8backed Over | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…0162backed Over | 27c | 365$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 20c | 352.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…d3bcbacked Over | 27c | 340$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Over | 25c | 318.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…c1cdbacked Over | 27c | 309$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 71c | 283.91$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…f084backed Over | 27c | 275$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…188bbacked Under | 73c | 269$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…44a4backed Under | 73c | 268$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…3955backed Under | 73c | 264$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…312dbacked Under | 73c | 243$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…b746backed Under | 73c | 224$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 9c | 223.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf62…fcf0backed Under | 73c | 223$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…be9ebacked Under | 73c | 201$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…6895backed Under | 73c | 179$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedeb…d412backed Under | 73c | 164$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…ff7fbacked Under | 73c | 161$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…b43cbacked Under | 73c | 156$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 75c | 148.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b5…1eddbacked Under | 73c | 145$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Under | 73c | 133.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 75c | 129.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 139 | 71.2%99 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…a06dbacked Over | 29c | 103.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…b21bbacked Over | 17c | 89.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3128…e9ccbacked Under | 75c | 74.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 17c | 71.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Under | 76c | 52.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked Over | 20c | 49.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…efd8backed Under | 74c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ABilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.