TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,418 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked G2 Esports66c12,061$7,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,990.638444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Bilibili Gaming37c7,221$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.4966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming33c5,810$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.941,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked G2 Esports70c5,751$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00022757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Bilibili Gaming33c5,675$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800.7914839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G2 Esports67c5,005$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.4582352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5a…f96ebacked Bilibili Gaming35c4,516$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.721931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Bilibili Gaming33c4,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Bilibili Gaming31c3,533$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.7744047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Bilibili Gaming33c3,324$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.929238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked G2 Esports69c3,222$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.181540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked G2 Esports67c2,951$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.3411658.6%68 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports61c2,857$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.262,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…cf01backed Bilibili Gaming33c2,657$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.513145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2 Esports67c2,655$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.381,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G2 Esports67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.981,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Bilibili Gaming34c2,490$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.649549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed G2 Esports68c2,371$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.123046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed G2 Esports67c2,000$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3357657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Bilibili Gaming30c1,700$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed G2 Esports68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Bilibili Gaming35c1,330$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.621668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+49.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Bilibili Gaming29c1,171$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.11,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Bilibili Gaming33c1,139$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.3921939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Bilibili Gaming76c1,001$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4419648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Bilibili Gaming32c961$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.487742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed G2 Esports53c939.97$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.185431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x979a…4c7bbacked G2 Esports60c834.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Bilibili Gaming32c810$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.81030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked G2 Esports68c810$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed G2 Esports62c808.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed G2 Esports67c800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53615953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Bilibili Gaming34c799.65$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.491,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming30c776.97$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.881,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca4…51cebacked G2 Esports70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed G2 Esports69c700$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0216045.6%73 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked G2 Esports72c700$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed G2 Esports68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47675738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Bilibili Gaming32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47634250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Bilibili Gaming28c700$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50422536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b7…125cbacked Bilibili Gaming46c686.78$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed G2 Esports52c685.43$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4212259%72 W · 50 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe193…2003backed G2 Esports69c679.1$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fed…fa70backed Bilibili Gaming32c661.86$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.794040%16 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Bilibili Gaming34c635.86$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.7341749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Bilibili Gaming33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40241343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked G2 Esports67c595.54$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0125942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Bilibili Gaming42c559.29$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4751247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G2 Esports54c555$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.71,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed G2 Esports70c514.46$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5913154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked G2 Esports67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33511251.8%58 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Bilibili Gaming31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34540347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…8e3bbacked G2 Esports68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Bilibili Gaming46c431.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.914946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked G2 Esports67c370$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.911244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Bilibili Gaming33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0336752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Bilibili Gaming33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0338144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed G2 Esports67c298.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked G2 Esports68c294.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…e2a2backed Bilibili Gaming34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.123655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Bilibili Gaming34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1239541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bilibili Gaming33c294$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9814650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed G2 Esports68c272.91$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.581855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Bilibili Gaming45c267.62$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8218244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed G2 Esports55c251$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7566445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed G2 Esports68c241.77$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3532653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Bilibili Gaming45c236.81$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.243231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bilibili Gaming35c223.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.082,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed G2 Esports68c220.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked Bilibili Gaming47c213.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6413849.3%68 W · 70 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Bilibili Gaming47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7718742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed G2 Esports68c200.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1114935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed G2 Esports68c200.4$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.276435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Bilibili Gaming46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Bilibili Gaming51c195.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.053138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Bilibili Gaming32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e3…519bbacked G2 Esports54c184.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked G2 Esports55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming32c180$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7f…1b4ebacked G2 Esports70c160$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122045%9 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed G2 Esports66c151.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed Bilibili Gaming33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed G2 Esports55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.518752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed G2 Esports69c145.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007459.5%44 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1289…42aabacked G2 Esports69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x871c…ccebbacked Bilibili Gaming32c143$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked G2 Esports70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc995…a06dbacked G2 Esports70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Bilibili Gaming33c137.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.819538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Bilibili Gaming48c136.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.816154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5544…0b95backed Bilibili Gaming33c136$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…ed97backed Bilibili Gaming32c133$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…e456backed Bilibili Gaming32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa9f…7e5dbacked G2 Esports53c117.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220463.2%129 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed G2 Esports68c114.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879c…7845backed Bilibili Gaming33c113$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d34…2826backed Bilibili Gaming32c111$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 Esports65c110.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.873,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Bilibili Gaming36c106.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.094240.5%17 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed G2 Esports57c105$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.057352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.