TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7593…e0a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10569.5%73 W · 32 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.06
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$15.07
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.1
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.66
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$20.24
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$4.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$20.06
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$12.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.78
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$11.27
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.83
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Giles Husseybacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.