CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa3dedcb112db7b42a62b965dc46aa56a46fc1f7573caac7c7e0f4888bd6c4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 50,669$35,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,759.61 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Ursa | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 30c | 17,358$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 12,522$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.46 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 5,200$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa | 29c | 3,364$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.78 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ursa | 30c | 2,450$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Ursa | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,589$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.78 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Ursa | 28c | 1,517$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 1,357$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ursa | 19c | 1,346$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ursa | 22c | 1,313$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.69 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Ursa | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Ursa | 29c | 1,207$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Ursa | 30c | 1,207$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.07 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…5a2fbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,194$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 1,151$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.81 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,110$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Ursa | 28c | 1,045$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ursa | 30c | 1,034$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.66 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa | 14c | 1,020$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Ursa | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…5bdabacked Ursa | 30c | 964.47$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Ursa | 28c | 940.19$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 29c | 887.09$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Ursa | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Ursa | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 788.73$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Ursa | 51c | 759.39$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 736$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 691.24$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Ursa | 28c | 683.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 20c | 663.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ursa | 26c | 644.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa | 43c | 636.41$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.39 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…ca4ebacked Ursa | 28c | 628.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Ursa | 25c | 601.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 563.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Ursa | 28c | 500.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Ursa | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked Ursa | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Ursa | 29c | 474.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 46c | 431.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 410$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…0d85backed Ursa | 28c | 353.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Ursa | 19c | 348.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ursa | 22c | 337.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 315.76$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Ursa | 25c | 308.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Ursa | 27c | 307.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ursa | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 300$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…2104backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 259.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1b…6d80backed Ursa | 52c | 258$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Ursa | 29c | 229$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Ursa | 45c | 222.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…e7e2backed Ursa | 17c | 222.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Ursa | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…ca35backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 207.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Ursa | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 206.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ursa | 48c | 200.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ursa | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Ursa | 21c | 191.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Ursa | 44c | 178.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa | 24c | 173.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Ursa | 29c | 169.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Ursa | 30c | 167.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed Ursa | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Ursa | 29c | 142$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Ursa | 30c | 137.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Ursa | 30c | 135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Ursa | 14c | 128.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ursa | 16c | 126.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…d703backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…07bebacked Ursa | 26c | 120.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ursa | 31c | 118.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 115.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…30a7backed Ursa | 20c | 109.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ursa | 46c | 104.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Ursa | 43c | 104.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Ursa | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Ursa | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Ursa | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 90.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed Ursa | 31c | 90.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 88.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Ursa | 21c | 84.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 81.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…4342backed Ursa | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ursa | 23c | 76.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ursa | 24c | 75.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ursa | 29c | 73.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Ursa (+2.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.