Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa54ef37a4b2fa46d9d51a058e87edf914693cbecec13d52be2febfe5d19d231c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, YFP Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked M80 | 64c | 7,957$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.55 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked YFP Gaming | 35c | 5,007$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked YFP Gaming | 10c | 1,800$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed M80 | 64c | 1,450$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.68 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed M80 | 77c | 1,018$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed YFP Gaming | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed YFP Gaming | 37c | 970$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked YFP Gaming | 13c | 817.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed YFP Gaming | 34c | 779.03$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed M80 | 66c | 718.37$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed YFP Gaming | 34c | 700.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 630.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.39 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked M80 | 72c | 620$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked YFP Gaming | 38c | 576.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed YFP Gaming | 38c | 564.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 512.64$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed YFP Gaming | 33c | 500.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked YFP Gaming | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed YFP Gaming | 32c | 488.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…21b7backed M80 | 65c | 486.73$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked YFP Gaming | 16c | 470.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed M80 | 67c | 377.02$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed M80 | 63c | 335$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…635cbacked YFP Gaming | 33c | 322.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked YFP Gaming | 18c | 318.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 300.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked YFP Gaming | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed M80 | 64c | 292.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed YFP Gaming | 34c | 290.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 289.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked YFP Gaming | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed YFP Gaming | 35c | 256.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…f875backed YFP Gaming | 9c | 239.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked YFP Gaming | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed YFP Gaming | 8c | 201.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…3f96backed YFP Gaming | 32c | 192.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed M80 | 64c | 164.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 163.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed YFP Gaming | 38c | 161.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…9c40backed M80 | 65c | 150.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked M80 | 64c | 149.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked M80 | 67c | 145.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked YFP Gaming | 19c | 142.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 59c | 132.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked M80 | 60c | 122.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed YFP Gaming | 25c | 112.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked YFP Gaming | 23c | 108.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed YFP Gaming | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked YFP Gaming | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 94.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked YFP Gaming | 26c | 87.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 158 | 33.5%53 W · 105 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked M80 | 65c | 75.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked M80 | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…2ddfbacked YFP Gaming | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed YFP Gaming | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed YFP Gaming | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…7301backed M80 | 78c | 44.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked YFP Gaming | 37c | 44.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked M80 | 68c | 43.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed M80 | 67c | 43.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed M80 | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed M80 | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked M80 | 67c | 34.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…f58fbacked M80 | 64c | 31.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked M80 | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked M80 | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e0a1backed M80 | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed M80 | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed M80 | 68c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked M80 | 64c | 20.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked M80 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed M80 | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.