Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3cb745353ce8ad13c88e9d9ad28f90f3c7560ce36b9ab60bed23932b7bcc2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, YFP Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed M80 | 80c | 3,095$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked YFP Gaming | 20c | 2,914$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.98 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed YFP Gaming | 37c | 763.73$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed M80 | 23c | 299.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.38 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked M80 | 61c | 216.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed M80 | 48c | 207.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…21b7backed M80 | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked YFP Gaming | 42c | 163.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked M80 | 67c | 149.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…6759backed YFP Gaming | 46c | 142.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked YFP Gaming | 50c | 140.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked YFP Gaming | 59c | 114.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed M80 | 59c | 100.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked YFP Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked M80 | 66c | 95.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked YFP Gaming | 37c | 93.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed M80 | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed M80 | 56c | 68.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed YFP Gaming | 42c | 52.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed YFP Gaming | 58c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed YFP Gaming | 39c | 35.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed YFP Gaming | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed YFP Gaming | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed M80 | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed M80 | 75c | 25.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f80…8587backed YFP Gaming | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked M80 | 68c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.