TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f80…8587

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$16.6
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$19
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.86
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$32
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$25.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$66.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$24.26
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.08
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$10.51
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$10.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69%+$25.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$8.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: M80 vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.