CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e57ea823d127fb1e8a7d84de6965442e7e0ac3763d4b0da64d4135cf74e6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof MANA eSports, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd0a…3540backed ASTRAL | 62c | 1,939$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed MANA eSports | 45c | 1,859$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.51 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked ASTRAL | 67c | 1,520$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.31 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ASTRAL | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MANA eSports | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed MANA eSports | 36c | 950$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 466.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed MANA eSports | 12c | 407.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 12c | 315.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed MANA eSports | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed MANA eSports | 41c | 279$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 275.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MANA eSports | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…c57fbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MANA eSports | 25c | 164.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed MANA eSports | 39c | 133.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MANA eSports | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MANA eSports | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 42c | 116.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed MANA eSports | 47c | 113.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked MANA eSports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed MANA eSports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…107bbacked MANA eSports | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed ASTRAL | 79c | 99.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MANA eSports | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASTRAL | 70c | 72.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed MANA eSports | 45c | 64.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked MANA eSports | 44c | 58.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed MANA eSports | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed MANA eSports | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked MANA eSports | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd8…8f97backed MANA eSports | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MANA eSports | 26c | 44.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed MANA eSports | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MANA eSports | 45c | 35.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…6466backed MANA eSports | 42c | 34.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed ASTRAL | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL | 55c | 32.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MANA eSports | 40c | 28.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e0a1backed ASTRAL | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed ASTRAL | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 73c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.