TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Giles Hussey

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yi Zhouof Yi Zhou, Giles Hussey
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Giles Hussey3c9,592$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.111,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giles Hussey4c6,718$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Giles Hussey27c4,645$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.120459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Giles Hussey28c3,713$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.7514822.3%33 W · 115 L-14.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Giles Hussey6c3,136$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.133,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Giles Hussey9c2,261$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.434,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Giles Hussey6c1,943$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.351,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Giles Hussey6c1,814$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5285348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Giles Hussey6c1,812$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5212047.5%57 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f1…9befbacked Giles Hussey28c1,795$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Giles Hussey8c1,673$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0292352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Giles Hussey6c924.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1523444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Giles Hussey5c903.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9616645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Giles Hussey32c892.09$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.811,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Giles Hussey5c801.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.761,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Giles Hussey5c783.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7633557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Giles Hussey5c780.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.481,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Giles Hussey5c745.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4939955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Giles Hussey5c734.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7311327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Giles Hussey5c727.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2850156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Giles Hussey19c724.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.044,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Giles Hussey5c716.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2541658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Giles Hussey5c700.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6148453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Giles Hussey5c697.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0548652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Giles Hussey4c688.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3113151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Giles Hussey7c677.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.115728.1%16 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Giles Hussey30c675.37$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6127733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Giles Hussey5c668.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8230555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Giles Hussey5c666.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6629652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Giles Hussey5c665.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6437153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Giles Hussey5c659.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8719153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…0602backed Yi Zhou71c649.24$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Giles Hussey5c641.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2761752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Giles Hussey17c630.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1235032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Yi Zhou76c615.75$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.32050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Giles Hussey5c614.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4476853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf9…2eb5backed Yi Zhou74c609.87$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d7…08f4backed Giles Hussey5c608.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.281526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Giles Hussey5c603.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2810728%30 W · 77 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yi Zhou76c591.32$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5630857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Giles Hussey6c568.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5729851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Giles Hussey29c523.86$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.026726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Giles Hussey7c466.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5210858.3%63 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Giles Hussey8c448.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.737345.2%33 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yi Zhou77c441.4$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1722465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Giles Hussey3c437.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Giles Hussey6c430.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8517656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Giles Hussey9c305.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.134847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Giles Hussey10c303.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2519851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Giles Hussey35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Giles Hussey10c255.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7836944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece5…223cbacked Giles Hussey6c248.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Giles Hussey10c228.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8611958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Giles Hussey27c212.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3721720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Giles Hussey10c194.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8532050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Giles Hussey30c191.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Giles Hussey10c178.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.392,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Giles Hussey7c167.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.774454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Giles Hussey10c163.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1823758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…fa0bbacked Giles Hussey36c144.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Giles Hussey10c143$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4212861.7%79 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Giles Hussey24c140.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.779,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Yi Zhou75c139.24$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.397357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Giles Hussey23c131.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.763,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Yi Zhou76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1273458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yi Zhou69c129$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9938955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yi Zhou77c128.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.991,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Giles Hussey11c128.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.639056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f47…a035backed Giles Hussey9c125.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Giles Hussey10c117.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.656365.1%41 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb24b…04ddbacked Giles Hussey9c116.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.032119%4 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Giles Hussey11c113.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.418459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Giles Hussey29c106.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5427566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yi Zhou71c106.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Giles Hussey12c105.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3513949.6%69 W · 70 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yi Zhou76c103.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.910150.5%51 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Giles Hussey12c98.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3357052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Giles Hussey12c98.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6715059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yi Zhou69c87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.973,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Yi Zhou71c86.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0829958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Giles Hussey28c83.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.152846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Giles Hussey30c79.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9319344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Yi Zhou76c77.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Giles Hussey29c75.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9810646.2%49 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Giles Hussey42c73.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.698150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yi Zhou75c69.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.422,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Yi Zhou77c67.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6652155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Yi Zhou71c66.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3116560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2720…7549backed Giles Hussey29c65.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Giles Hussey30c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Yi Zhou64c61.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1999056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Yi Zhou71c57.81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.862,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Yi Zhou70c55.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7953457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe117…b02ebacked Giles Hussey27c53.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Giles Hussey24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Yi Zhou71c48.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0520670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yi Zhou71c47.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6881255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf000…4a42backed Yi Zhou70c46.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yi Zhou65c44.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6775262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Yi Zhou58c44.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.682,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.