Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a2d444608416fec8de95366ceffc2a280db238850fc58716886e9fc8e757a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 59c | 1,155$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.3 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,153$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 32c | 596$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 41c | 474.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 462.36$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 35c | 178$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked No | 62c | 161.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 29c | 155.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 127.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Yes | 33c | 118.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 98.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 49.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 39c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 58c | 32.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.