TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Under39c124,383$48,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,926.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over61c28,553$17,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,417.297938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over61c17,500$10,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,67516045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over61c12,767$7,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,785.4752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over61c12,222$7,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,455.422347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c7,756$4,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.452,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over62c5,495$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over12c4,999$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.885518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c4,215$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.661,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c2…bcfcbacked Over59c3,904$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeff…33bcbacked Under41c3,900$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over60c3,862$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.7238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8304040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8308251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c2,506$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.8598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over61c2,218$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.9322947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c2,126$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.1146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over33c1,677$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.963724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over61c1,596$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.382227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over31c1,235$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5314936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over61c1,017$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.4133357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under40c925.15$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.0936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c917$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0817651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.94035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under57c602.69$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.163271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3726949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c570.72$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over52c551$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.32763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over61c420$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over61c420$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over61c420$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over35c411.16$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.182740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over49c409.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24816251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25631441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over62c354.41$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.94535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over21c343.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.315847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.316851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over59c322$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over61c320$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over31c316.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18313550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18313152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18312253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over61c280$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.814155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over62c245$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over19c229.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.39633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over44c229.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12215459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over61c190$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.911550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over55c183.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over61c180$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.811655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over60c172.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10315253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over61c170.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.053743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.711154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.78148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.712453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.711454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.710952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.77746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.711953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over32c156.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c152.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over31c129.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over59c124.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.86246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over48c124.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.84151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.29445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.211551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.29252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.212754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.28550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.213650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.212350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c111.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over41c108.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c101.03$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.