TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$642,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$653,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $642,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c528,407$264,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264,208.072450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under50c460,166$230,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230,082.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c61,311$31,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,540.912,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over50c23,949$11,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,974.627938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c20,042$10,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,020.4193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c15,698$7,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,005.9819549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under50c11,111$5,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.57444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c10,830$5,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,421.0252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c6,600$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c2,175$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.871,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c2,152$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under51c1,961$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.934748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over39c1,219$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.1246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over48c1,016$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9414142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5421650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under50c957.6$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.244535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.335530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c734.07$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over69c727.92$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.945655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over50c600.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.313137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under72c599.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.994062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over52c509.15$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.394553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over48c491.43$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6112049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c461.54$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c457.89$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.951855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Under56c378$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.681060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30e…b2f1backed Over41c370$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under52c361.54$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18811337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under56c315.29$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8259240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under71c281.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over60c230.5$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under53c209.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over33c208.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.612740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over50c208.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.881650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over76c205.26$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.265945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over56c201.82$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8815042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c188.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over46c187.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.384835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Over51c170.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over33c153.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.714231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over30c146$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2828445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over42c143$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.941275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d40…b019backed Under52c140.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over50c136.84$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.423050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1d…705cbacked Over49c136.45$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c123.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under49c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.27948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under51c111.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0516448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over47c106.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4919436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over47c106.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.437848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-81.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over50c99.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.925752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over50c96.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.249937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd8…8593backed Under55c92.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over47c89.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under50c87.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.793743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over61c82.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0511955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under51c80.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.124854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over50c75.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.835450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under51c60.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.853759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Over50c59.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under53c59.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6424955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…3c72backed Over50c56.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under45c56.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x305a…268dbacked Under52c55.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over35c53.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0917538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x074a…140cbacked Over50c53.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.