Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde22d8b42c4f7991a8935d12fd4d3b7cdecec0fdf000185e34e1cb6bb49e157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $642,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $642,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 528,407$264,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264,208.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 50c | 460,166$230,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,082.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 61,311$31,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,540.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 23,949$11,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,974.62 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 20,042$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020.41 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 15,698$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,005.98 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.5 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 10,830$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.02 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 6,600$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,175$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.87 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 2,152$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.79 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 1,219$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.12 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 48c | 1,016$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.94 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 50c | 957.6$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.24 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 734.07$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 69c | 727.92$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.94 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 600.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 52c | 509.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.39 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 491.43$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 461.54$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 457.89$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Under | 56c | 378$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Over | 41c | 370$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 52c | 361.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 56c | 315.29$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 71c | 281.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 60c | 230.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 53c | 209.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 33c | 208.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 50c | 208.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 76c | 205.26$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 56c | 201.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 188.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 46c | 187.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Over | 51c | 170.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 153.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 30c | 146$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b019backed Under | 52c | 140.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 50c | 136.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…705cbacked Over | 49c | 136.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 111.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 47c | 106.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 50c | 96.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed Under | 55c | 92.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 89.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 50c | 87.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 61c | 82.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 51c | 80.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 50c | 75.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Under | 51c | 60.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 50c | 59.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 53c | 59.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…3c72backed Over | 50c | 56.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under | 45c | 56.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x305a…268dbacked Under | 52c | 55.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 53.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074a…140cbacked Over | 50c | 53.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.