Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x430fd78cf84d80f3b6aa37037982526bd62126a4630950c1d22459959fc6d7fe

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,299 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	73c	18,958$13,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,132.09	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	25c	10,403$2,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,604.82	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under	79c	8,587$6,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.28	20	90%18 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	77cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9317…75d9backed Over	5c	7,688$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	7cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	22c	3,000$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.06	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	26	88.5%23 W · 3 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	74cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over	43c	2,400$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.97	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	34cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	27c	1,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	366	30.9%113 W · 253 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under	74c	1,459$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.34	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over	28c	1,249$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.62	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	72c	1,022$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.15	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	68c	989.21$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over	27c	800.31$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.08	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	26c	699.99$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	405	49.6%201 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	46c	651.74$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.7	216	50.5%109 W · 107 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	21c	599.99$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.36	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over	27c	595.55$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.62	98	26.5%26 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over	21c	490.48$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	28c	482.14$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	131	37.4%49 W · 82 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	25c	420$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	255	56.5%144 W · 111 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	25c	420$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	184	59.2%109 W · 75 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	-5.9wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	285	56.1%160 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	75c	367$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	346	43.4%150 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	25c	362$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	72	20.8%15 W · 57 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under	59c	339.2$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.22	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	69c	337.35$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.57	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+5.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	25c	280$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	45c	261.48$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	142	31%44 W · 98 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	284	58.1%165 W · 119 L	+12.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over	30c	224.72$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.55	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over	33c	215.45$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.61	118	56.8%67 W · 51 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over	46c	209.61$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.42	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	147	48.3%71 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	154	59.1%91 W · 63 L	+11.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	150	42%63 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…e749backed Over	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	26c	191.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.34	368	52.7%194 W · 174 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over	32c	190.63$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	25c	190$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	25c	180$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	25c	170$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over	21c	170$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	25c	170$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	25c	170$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	119	53.8%64 W · 55 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	75c	169.93$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.45	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	26c	161.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.11	194	36.1%70 W · 124 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	27c	152.95$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Under	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	68cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over	23c	120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	136	50.7%69 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under	76c	100.34$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.34	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Under	77c	84.42$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	35.8%43 W · 77 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	67c	73$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	527	48%253 W · 274 L	-35.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	25c	70$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	44c	68.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.13	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	36c	66.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	114	60.5%69 W · 45 L	+14.9wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	21c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under	64c	54.01$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.45	150	41.3%62 W · 88 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over	38c	53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Under	72c	49.33$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over	44c	45.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.04	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	69cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	70c	23$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.89	467	42.8%200 W · 267 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under	73c	20.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.61	164	48.8%80 W · 84 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	79c	19.82$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.21	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event