TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12f1…8e70backed Under21c40,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4004725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over79c35,893$28,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,537.6156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over49c10,184$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,193.654358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c7,944$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df0…4c7cbacked Under52c6,040$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc638…00d6backed Over48c4,655$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ed…f410backed Under52c4,501$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb82…5c65backed Under52c4,410$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0085…b527backed Over48c4,156$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ba…82afbacked Over48c4,115$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…b37abacked Over48c4,050$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over80c4,029$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2088…4a31backed Over48c4,020$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16d…91bfbacked Over48c3,888$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060c…e328backed Under52c3,700$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…cb30backed Under52c3,655$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd68…481fbacked Under52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed8…66f7backed Under52c3,066$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d2…cfdabacked Under52c2,955$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…50edbacked Under52c2,911$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f26…055fbacked Over48c2,862$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8b…7822backed Under52c2,855$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f3…8e5abacked Over48c2,734$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ff…927bbacked Over48c2,610$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda79…00d0backed Under52c2,555$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf82f…2b44backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ff…4c62backed Under52c2,466$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a8…7ad3backed Under52c2,352$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1477…7a25backed Under52c2,344$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4455…75fabacked Over48c2,333$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9a…56ffbacked Under52c2,323$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c2,201$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.592,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c2,201$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.591,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1225…8535backed Under52c2,122$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x613f…b4efbacked Over48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc6…9730backed Over48c2,079$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5f…6778backed Over48c2,040$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148c…fae5backed Over48c2,036$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda78…5d02backed Under52c2,020$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab5…5f9fbacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x291a…7c95backed Over48c1,963$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4867…d5b8backed Over48c1,900$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2b…319ebacked Over48c1,789$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83dd…7136backed Under52c1,766$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38df…b60dbacked Under52c1,624$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc99…ead6backed Over48c1,544$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc3…dda2backed Over48c1,524$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb405…56d9backed Over48c1,423$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e7…3192backed Under52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4947…5117backed Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c0…1870backed Under52c1,123$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c948.46$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.722,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under16c646.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.326638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over36c632.84$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over80c566$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over79c500.43$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0918743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under56c492.97$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over47c449.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.521743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c377.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c363.9$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.641,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Under62c319.79$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.113464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under53c291.38$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.437454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Under53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6462539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under55c172.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8934654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c151.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a1…2254backed Under13c130.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c116.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.742,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c115.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Under30c100.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5316052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5341354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…5334backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd097…40eabacked Under53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over70c81.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Over48c77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.047753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over53c76.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4140849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5735…4c95backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c63.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2820949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Under72c61.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.552650%13 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d1b…6d80backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9735…b03bbacked Over37c53.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under62c52.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3485147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…f90bbacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over38c47.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over38c45.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c44.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.013,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over65c39.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.711,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x350c…4123backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.