NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d7c91ef4b72f9a3afe4800df575b158d400603a439210ccce759c82b5b13af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,313$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,353$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.73 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 803.68$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.73 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 6c | 708.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 388.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 76.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 55c | 74.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 28c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Under | 48c | 58.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Over | 53c | 47.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 53c | 45.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 45.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 40.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 51c | 31.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 46c | 24.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jazz vs. PacersJazz won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Jazz won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.