TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,059 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under57c3,847$2,193 inLost-$2,192.5640446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c1,776$781 inWon+$994.354,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under56c1,204$674 inLost-$674.421,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon+$55012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c847.26$481 inLost-$480.973,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c709.38$304 inWon+$405.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under46c591.9$273 inLost-$273.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c403.29$219 inWon+$184.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c360.38$159 inWon+$201.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64b…eaa6backed Over44c277.27$122 inWon+$155.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under59c260.9$153 inLost-$152.881,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac01…cc30backed Over44c259.09$114 inWon+$145.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef8…da63backed Over44c259.09$114 inWon+$145.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a2…2d93backed Over43c251.16$108 inWon+$143.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00bd…36c7backed Over43c248.84$107 inWon+$141.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbee6…dbe9backed Over43c246.51$106 inWon+$140.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…a54dbacked Over44c238.64$105 inWon+$133.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16a…aebabacked Over44c234.09$103 inWon+$131.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under7c187.37$13 inLost-$13.121,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over43c143.19$62 inWon+$81.6295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c109.37$57 inWon+$52.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over44c100$44 inWon+$5635739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c53.81$25 inLost-$25.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c50.7$28 inLost-$28.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c46.36$23 inLost-$22.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under58c43.1$25 inLost-$2537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over43c34.88$15 inWon+$19.8816935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over50c32$16 inWon+$1640849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under58c31$18 inLost-$18.0141048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c30$16 inLost-$15.63,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over48c24.9$12 inWon+$12.9519050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Under48c24.56$12 inLost-$11.76634.8%23 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.