TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Pacers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3a9…12a7backed Pacers50c6,200$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz52c3,622$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Pacers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Pacers34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42d1…f7d6backed Pacers51c2,885$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1a…3c36backed Jazz49c2,756$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4804…1234backed Pacers51c2,555$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a2…980bbacked Pacers51c2,534$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a6…4321backed Jazz49c2,354$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63dd…e364backed Jazz50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b6…d3cebacked Jazz50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fd…1bd6backed Pacers51c2,155$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cea…daf3backed Pacers51c2,146$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724b…b021backed Jazz49c2,001$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe03b…1ee5backed Pacers51c1,895$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz66c1,859$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3f…42a1backed Jazz50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d84…a517backed Pacers51c1,720$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b3…52cfbacked Jazz49c1,592$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59cd…3b2abacked Jazz49c1,534$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad98…1f36backed Jazz49c1,522$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pacers44c1,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6651,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea12…b0eebacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf32…4b3bbacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…c240backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c50…05a9backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2737…a3babacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3b…4b34backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdec3…964fbacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe64e…827cbacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb218…26bbbacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0960…a67abacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed7…bba3backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2490…33f0backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ee…a575backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16db…f87ebacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa75b…191bbacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd08a…bbf8backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x863d…08febacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f96…d69bbacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb02d…ed76backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0573…d198backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec9…efabbacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a40…07c1backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…3191backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34e0…80cabacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c89…1b15backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca2…f3cdbacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x467c…3157backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefe…3705backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9b8…f150backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b8…cbc5backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0984…fa50backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…3d38backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd7e…d8fbbacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x364a…f7adbacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ec…aee3backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6423…7f3ebacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1e…f1aebacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2082…6ea4backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x833a…37b1backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89b1…6217backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x039b…db7fbacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7b…cb14backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755e…9a87backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61b9…3642backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e0f…6545backed Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9ce…41acbacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4993…de3fbacked Pacers49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa572…d26bbacked Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd933…dd04backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1975…6052backed Jazz51c1,462$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a22…c251backed Pacers51c1,322$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5578…f805backed Jazz49c1,293$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e8…74e4backed Pacers51c1,222$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz55c1,167$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.991,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz69c1,134$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffb…e386backed Jazz49c1,123$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…dee2backed Jazz49c1,023$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9e…e946backed Pacers51c1,001$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz56c994.94$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.773,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30c0…a4f7backed Jazz49c963$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…51c7backed Jazz49c932$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a2…a470backed Jazz49c865$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers46c858.2$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.714,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e6…463bbacked Jazz49c855$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74d…d0c5backed Jazz49c622$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23036359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pacers42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Pacers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pacers34c153.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.291,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers40c141.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.973,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Pacers12c139$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2413837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Pacers50c129$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.57441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz51c108.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd75…ae75backed Jazz50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbfd…46f8backed Pacers52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013142.7%56 W · 75 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Pacers37c74.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4240849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Pacers37c70.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.