NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x313ad19484e749bd63dd2d398181f7c5f88e1df66772b26711d97c08db259840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 60,017$30,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,008.18 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 49c | 15,203$7,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.44 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 13,435$6,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.29 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…f028backed Over | 50c | 8,682$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 50c | 5,978$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 52c | 5,758$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.94 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 5,584$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.31 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,304$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 50c | 4,264$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.14 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 3,156$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,905$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…d905backed Over | 50c | 1,724$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 768.1$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 762.47$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 612.97$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…c762backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 507.92$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Over | 50c | 426$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…dcdebacked Over | 51c | 405.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee2…30bbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…23b1backed Over | 51c | 393.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…37bcbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 58c | 257.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 42c | 257.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…3d2ebacked Over | 51c | 197.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 51c | 129$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 50c | 125.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 50c | 118.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Under | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…7b9abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…26b2backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 42c | 70.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Under | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 54c | 53.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 52.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 50c | 47.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 51c | 44.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…4284backed Under | 53c | 39.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…0f6bbacked Under | 51c | 36.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 36.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Under | 50c | 35.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…223dbacked Under | 50c | 34.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Over | 71c | 32.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 30.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…b929backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…0e63backed Under | 52c | 26.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Under | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…e59ebacked Under | 51c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Under | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 21.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jazz vs. PacersJazz won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Jazz won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.