TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc12b…1652backed Yes34c14,412$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,465.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c9,742$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.054,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed No73c9,512$6,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,943.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9481…4931backed Yes28c9,489$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+75.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes31c8,160$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,651.8227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed No74c6,823$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.653644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No68c6,178$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.5435758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes27c5,900$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30720039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes66c3,923$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.211155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No71c3,817$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.5131655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes30c3,714$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.184829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c3,700$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66438649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No21c3,467$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1904746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No72c2,725$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.3621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No12c2,611$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4219743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c2,050$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes25c2,006$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.6915049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No54c1,896$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No71c1,873$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.6210159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes29c1,749$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes29c1,746$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c1,668$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.966,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c1,534$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.2417833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No73c1,508$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.9910455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…f6e1backed Yes13c1,500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+214.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed No29c1,366$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.37147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No19c1,248$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.391,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c1,198$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.541,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No72c1,140$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.9315764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c1,068$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.0490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No8c1,026$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No10c1,020$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7209150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No23c1,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes71c987.99$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.237240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No70c851.03$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.631,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes75c800.59$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.591662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7427024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.292123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6624630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No74c641.89$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47518562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.717229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed No34c531.2$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.723450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2432737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Yes29c499.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.741752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed No23c434$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-73.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6713834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No73c391.84$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28529458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.838742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Yes30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+66.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No6c325.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes28c312.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.778343.4%36 W · 47 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+73%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf38…0912backed Yes76c263.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.069941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c254.29$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes27c225.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.973129%9 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes14c210.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.237047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No72c200.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6221463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes26c199.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9911241.1%46 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes27c195.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.626229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes30c170$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1195930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c168$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes28c167.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8818929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdf…edf9backed No71c163.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed No74c161.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.89359.1%55 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8617748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No74c140$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.724062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007740.3%31 W · 46 L-11.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c15…fc45backed Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No70c123.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa96b…6565backed Yes29c114$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.94560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked No72c110.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.918631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x395c…4415backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb77d…2f85backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d61…2cadbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c5…a9edbacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+276.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes15c95.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.064168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.599643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5914252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ccb…46e0backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+97.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No26c77.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0818259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc35b…28b6backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.979537.9%36 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes27c66.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.675042%21 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed No72c63.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.893348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.512935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed No72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked No72c48.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.833644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No71c42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2745…055ebacked No36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.