TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9481…4931backed Yes29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+75.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed No72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes16c6,926$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.76435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c6,244$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.696,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c6,177$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.754,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfef2…1470backed Yes19c5,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes31c2,866$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No78c1,783$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7811155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe059…55aabacked Yes28c1,535$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4140…0272backed No73c1,535$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes29c1,404$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.224447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c1,360$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No71c1,216$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No51c1,200$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6718259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes24c1,152$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5346551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68f…f354backed No73c1,096$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb848…6431backed Yes27c1,074$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked No48c1,034$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.576150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes20c999.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8920140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes44c991$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes27c985.48$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes27c920.81$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0531655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes19c895.24$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No76c644.09$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Yes49c611.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…6355backed Yes27c580$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.660%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3db2…f11abacked No73c580$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No57c480.5$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.651,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes24c454.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.042755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c447.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.921,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes29c395.79$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.783540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes27c320.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.33450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407223.6%17 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No42c253.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.931305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…792bbacked Yes20c251.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No73c217.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.836963.8%44 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes20c195.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Yes26c192.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No78c188.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2825545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes27c169.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.832737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed No45c169.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.051216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes35c165.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8678…5efabacked Yes8c154.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…8efbbacked Yes14c151.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1429158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…641cbacked Yes41c132.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes36c126.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.573938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x768c…7243backed Yes27c117.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa96b…6565backed Yes29c115.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.48560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No73c100.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.120750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa020…42ccbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe254…d8fabacked Yes46c83.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No72c75.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2112965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.622764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a4…333bbacked No55c68.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.95955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No77c68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.649732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df0…7791backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Yes44c55.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.312149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7761…40debacked No79c52.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.98560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes28c49.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9827141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab4…9606backed Yes40c49.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0f…1e1abacked Yes41c43.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes32c39.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4714643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb492…586cbacked Yes28c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.922556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e6…1cbabacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a883backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa5…af17backed Yes54c35.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No56c28.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed No79c18.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.757047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.