Fifa International · resolved market
Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2699a3e1cc439696f965767e556c50625a2d54e80d90ed751f2673dca96b2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 76c | 2,131$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 2,063$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 1,148$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.01 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,143$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 542$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.49 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 70c | 436.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.07 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 419.48$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.19 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 344.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.43 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 79c | 256.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 31c | 212.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 155.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 15c | 124.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…3934backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 26c | 96.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…b81ebacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 67c | 88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 76.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…7859backed No | 74c | 74.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 72c | 67.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 69c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes | 30c | 50.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…a307backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…f126backed Yes | 70c | 42.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…a000backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…91dcbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…285ebacked Yes | 69c | 23.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 74c | 16.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 16.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Australia win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Venezuela vs. Australia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.