Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f308c3beb04f71a96032d584b9c0e1de94437ca7fc3f6899e484140341fc90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.99 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 43c | 37,372$16,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,070.02 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 9,717$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.32 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 7,272$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 60c | 2,173$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.31 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 56c | 1,369$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 1,091$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Yes | 46c | 1,019$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 996.55$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.9 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 855.36$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.07 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 46c | 825.94$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.02 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Yes | 44c | 677.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 39c | 616$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 39c | 291.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked No | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 63c | 241.46$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 236$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 61c | 228.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 54c | 218.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…2eafbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 55c | 101.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…9fe1backed No | 62c | 100.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 59c | 86.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 55c | 83.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 58c | 79.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 38c | 76.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 45c | 69.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 45c | 59.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 54c | 45.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 46c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…a307backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 41.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Yes | 45c | 38.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 37.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 61c | 35.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed No | 61c | 34.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 34.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 45c | 23.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 54c | 22.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Venezuela vs. Australia end in a draw?No won
- Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.