TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2131…aaf2backed Hurricanes64c158,352$101,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,006.665253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Ducks36c55,555$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.810745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Ducks36c51,343$18,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,483.4417448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks36c34,477$12,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,495.6536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Hurricanes64c30,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes80c29,064$23,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,952.481,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks21c23,660$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.6926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Ducks36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2002040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Hurricanes79c11,461$9,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.8114538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Ducks20c8,401$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.215745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes63c8,300$5,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,07170547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Ducks36c6,600$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37628353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Ducks36c3,920$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Ducks36c3,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2603644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Ducks20c3,158$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.518520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks26c2,902$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.8695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f6…ce43backed Hurricanes78c2,850$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks21c2,770$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.9958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Hurricanes62c2,686$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.6240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Ducks9c2,666$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9429412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ducks37c2,400$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89235349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks36c2,307$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.3569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ducks19c2,287$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Hurricanes78c2,273$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0930944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks35c2,042$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.0737847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Ducks36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Ducks36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9116743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Ducks36c1,977$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.5987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Ducks36c1,874$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.7221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ducks22c1,590$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8214539.3%57 W · 88 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Ducks36c1,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50453337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Ducks37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks36c1,254$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks6c1,153$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Ducks20c1,104$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0111…61b1backed Ducks39c1,090$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Ducks36c1,089$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.894944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes64c1,082$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.132,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Ducks5c866.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.322114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks36c750.01$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Hurricanes64c731$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Ducks37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks35c669$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1521750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Ducks38c659.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Hurricanes64c657.99$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.879250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Hurricanes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes77c615.63$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.591,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Ducks37c564$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6824654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Ducks36c551.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hurricanes76c542.66$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.961,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Hurricanes68c534.43$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.667149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks34c511.13$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Hurricanes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Ducks36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes67c457$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.841,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Ducks36c444.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Ducks23c440.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes74c421.93$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ducks20c419.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.741,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Ducks16c393.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.987839.7%31 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes64c371$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.561,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Ducks37c332.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Ducks22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Ducks36c306.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4916346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde50…cf46backed Hurricanes64c303.1$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Ducks28c288.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6612070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Ducks36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.820446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ducks38c279.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3310343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Ducks36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9074951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ducks14c246.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.19149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Ducks37c224.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Hurricanes62c209.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.681,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Ducks36c200.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7343944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7238046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Ducks36c193.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.517745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Hurricanes64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.821245.8%97 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks35c165.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Hurricanes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2525258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Hurricanes63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hurricanes77c143.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.041,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Ducks36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Ducks37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Ducks30c119.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.45431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bad…08a1backed Hurricanes65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Ducks36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Ducks36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3619942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282d…48d3backed Ducks38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5b…4f5abacked Ducks23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Ducks37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376338.1%24 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Hurricanes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8118…889ebacked Hurricanes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+107.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Ducks37c91.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.37638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Hurricanes64c84.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3822051.4%113 W · 107 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ducks36c83.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9413440.3%54 W · 80 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes62c83.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.481,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.