NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc187fea735a76c6c65a783226a189e927707b91794445262677927ca6bacd6ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Kraken | 49c | 23,984$11,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,260.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 20,392$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.98 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 37c | 20,000$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,690.61 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 10,754$6,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.09 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 36c | 8,996$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.43 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 7,230$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 5,458$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.84 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,266$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.02 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Kraken | 39c | 5,111$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.97 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 4,622$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.22 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kraken | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 48c | 2,926$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.02 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,635$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.59 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…20a5backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…8647backed Kraken | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,439$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.96 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 38c | 1,402$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.7 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Kraken | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 1,383$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.16 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,304$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.69 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,115$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,028$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.9 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 997.57$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 885.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 834.62$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 48c | 745$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 35c | 713.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 696$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.72 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 691.36$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.47 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kraken | 46c | 678.56$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.67 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 630.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 512.55$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 491.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.15 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken | 37c | 463$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…f4e4backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kraken | 43c | 431.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 385.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 343.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 50c | 327.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kraken | 35c | 320.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…9bbdbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 320$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…24c0backed Kraken | 35c | 304$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kraken | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Kraken | 35c | 299.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Kraken | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Kraken | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 243.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Kraken | 37c | 229.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 42c | 223$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Kraken | 36c | 201$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Kraken | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kraken | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Kraken | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 185.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5315…0753backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 183.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 162.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 162.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Kraken | 53c | 149.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed Kraken | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Kraken | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 137.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 134.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 128.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 126.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Kraken | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Kraken | 44c | 96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 94.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kraken | 34c | 90.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 87.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Kraken | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 36c | 71.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 66.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 64.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 63.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 60.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Kraken | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.