NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac397ed122eb9a4604fad3e29dc0470fb25eeab84b4ac034ff6318b5f104226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 10c | 34,400$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.98 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 55c | 21,609$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,772.79 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Penguins | 43c | 20,687$8,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,736.4 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Kings | 58c | 19,211$11,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,158 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 53c | 17,993$9,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,545.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins | 35c | 12,439$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.29 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Kings | 15c | 10,499$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Kings | 58c | 8,667$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 65c | 7,476$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.4 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Penguins | 55c | 7,443$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.4 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 44c | 6,252$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.12 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.87 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Penguins | 35c | 5,449$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.95 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 62c | 3,540$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.24 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Kings | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Penguins | 43c | 3,352$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 57c | 2,570$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.1 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…9c47backed Penguins | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…2a84backed Kings | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kings | 30c | 2,407$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.22 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kings | 58c | 2,350$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.83 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Kings | 17c | 2,257$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 41c | 2,224$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.27 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 65c | 2,198$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.7 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Kings | 46c | 2,186$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Penguins | 36c | 2,050$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Penguins | 44c | 2,014$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.87 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Penguins | 67c | 1,804$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.2 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…c1e9backed Penguins | 36c | 1,606$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…510dbacked Kings | 65c | 1,606$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Penguins | 45c | 1,566$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 41c | 1,527$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.93 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Penguins | 25c | 1,521$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.8 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Kings | 65c | 1,323$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Kings | 64c | 1,126$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Kings | 65c | 993$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.45 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 76c | 891.33$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penguins | 72c | 874.68$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.89 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 35c | 855$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.75 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kings | 65c | 823.08$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 20c | 791.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Kings | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kings | 65c | 682$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.06 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Penguins | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…d4c7backed Penguins | 75c | 664.37$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Kings | 65c | 653.85$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Penguins | 40c | 635$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Kings | 65c | 584.62$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Penguins | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Penguins | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Penguins | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kings | 63c | 487.12$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 67c | 485.67$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Penguins | 42c | 374.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Kings | 58c | 374.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Penguins | 16c | 345.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Penguins | 39c | 321.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Kings | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Penguins | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Penguins | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Kings | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 64c | 299.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Kings | 62c | 269.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Kings | 63c | 269.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins | 36c | 256$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Penguins | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 11c | 243.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Kings | 52c | 232.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Kings | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Penguins | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kings | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Kings | 72c | 200$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 64c | 192.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Kings | 59c | 190.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kings | 64c | 176.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 43c | 175.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Penguins | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Kings | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Penguins | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Penguins | 54c | 145$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kings | 57c | 144.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Penguins | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Kings | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…0f5fbacked Penguins | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 43c | 134.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Penguins | 55c | 133.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bad…08a1backed Kings | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…0671backed Penguins | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 35c | 109.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Kings | 10c | 101.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…4f5abacked Penguins | 72c | 101.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Penguins | 39c | 100.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Penguins | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Kings | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c623backed Penguins | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…c174backed Kings | 65c | 99.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Kingsthis page
- Penguins vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.