College Football · resolved market
Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea064a4c1695560ec93c257d93b55d74a3461334a889a8709630803fc286f9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Georgia State, Georgia Southern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Georgia State | 31c | 6,013$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Georgia Southern | 69c | 6,013$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia State | 34c | 3,809$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.78 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern | 68c | 3,696$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.59 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Georgia State | 32c | 3,696$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.59 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Georgia Southern | 69c | 2,911$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Georgia Southern | 69c | 1,685$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Georgia State | 31c | 1,684$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgia State | 34c | 1,575$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.74 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Georgia Southern | 67c | 1,412$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.98 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Georgia Southern | 69c | 1,395$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.3 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…73f6backed Georgia State | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…a797backed Georgia Southern | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…681dbacked Georgia Southern | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…a849backed Georgia State | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Georgia State | 4c | 807.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgia Southern | 61c | 716.39$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.39 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Georgia Southern | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia State | 29c | 495.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Georgia State | 2c | 494.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Georgia Southern | 67c | 447.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Georgia Southern | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Georgia Southern | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Georgia Southern | 66c | 254$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Georgia State | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Georgia Southern | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Georgia Southern | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Georgia State | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Georgia Southern | 67c | 149.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia State | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Georgia State | 31c | 121.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Georgia State | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Georgia Southern | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Georgia Southern | 59c | 76.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Georgia State | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Georgia State | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Georgia State | 30c | 41.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Georgia State | 48c | 35.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…0cfcbacked Georgia State | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…7b41backed Georgia Southern | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Georgia State | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Georgia State | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Georgia Southern | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…8a43backed Georgia Southern | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1cd6backed Georgia State | 52c | 28.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Georgia Southern | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…825cbacked Georgia Southern | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Georgia State | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Georgia Southern | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State vs. Georgia Southernthis page
- Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern: O/U 60.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.