NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf141724b2eb600a4433cff33eb73eb38a0f6b01e8cfaa255ba32a16500e439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Oilers, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $807,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 892 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Red Wings | 46c | 151,999$69,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,020.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Red Wings | 45c | 122,285$54,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,661.37 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Oilers | 54c | 50,500$27,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,105 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Oilers | 56c | 33,397$18,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,702.46 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Oilers | 54c | 29,427$15,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,834.82 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 55c | 25,692$14,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,131.06 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 55c | 21,262$11,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,694.45 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Oilers | 56c | 18,922$10,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,596.34 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Oilers | 56c | 18,500$10,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,360 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 54c | 14,528$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.91 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Oilers | 54c | 13,244$7,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,151.58 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 56c | 8,995$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.18 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 54c | 8,800$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 56c | 8,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Oilers | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers | 38c | 7,406$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.21 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 39c | 5,500$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Oilers | 57c | 5,278$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.26 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 54c | 4,538$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.64 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Oilers | 55c | 4,400$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 54c | 4,214$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Oilers | 55c | 4,182$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Red Wings | 46c | 4,174$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.91 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 13c | 4,135$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.19 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oilers | 55c | 3,996$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.93 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Red Wings | 44c | 3,300$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,925$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.19 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oilers | 54c | 2,810$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.57 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…0eaabacked Red Wings | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…40afbacked Oilers | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,268$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.34 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers | 55c | 2,250$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…a79abacked Oilers | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…2820backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,175$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…fc83backed Oilers | 56c | 2,175$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Oilers | 54c | 2,057$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.83 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Oilers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…60afbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,870$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,834$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.76 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,739$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.18 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Oilers | 55c | 1,728$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 10c | 1,712$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb0…c007backed Red Wings | 79c | 1,667$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Oilers | 23c | 1,210$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.58 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 55c | 1,197$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers | 55c | 1,140$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.92 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Oilers | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.23 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…7831backed Oilers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…caf9backed Oilers | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Wings | 46c | 782.61$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.61 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 55c | 779.04$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…3567backed Oilers | 57c | 750.88$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…a417backed Red Wings | 71c | 741.23$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oilers | 55c | 706$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Red Wings | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings | 76c | 685.14$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 77c | 656.16$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Red Wings | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Wings | 46c | 630$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…d980backed Red Wings | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 13c | 496.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Oilers | 55c | 484$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…cc16backed Oilers | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Oilers | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 52c | 421.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Red Wings | 48c | 418$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Oilers | 55c | 408$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Wings | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Red Wings | 69c | 400$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Oilers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Red Wings | 45c | 333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…e66fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 328.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Oilers | 56c | 328.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Red Wings | 47c | 325.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Oilers | 20c | 318.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Red Wings | 44c | 312.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…d7c2backed Red Wings | 44c | 309.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…2197backed Red Wings | 44c | 309.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…a932backed Red Wings | 44c | 306.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…95a0backed Red Wings | 44c | 298.41$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…844dbacked Red Wings | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Oilers | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Red Wings | 45c | 275.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Red Wings | 73c | 275.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 76c | 259.9$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…0c4bbacked Oilers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Oilers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.