TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes54c47,200$25,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,723.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c25,538$13,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,359.128,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No37c12,032$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.027572%54 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No31c6,746$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.6350661.3%310 W · 196 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c6,440$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.85,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No42c5,321$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.664450%22 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No28c1,861$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.746363.5%40 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be7…4690backed No31c1,679$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cb…a48dbacked Yes72c1,679$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4508056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No30c1,050$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31543618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Yes57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3443528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No28c792.66$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9514422.9%33 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4418433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes72c693.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.041060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No36c676.53$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.451747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Yes63c654.83$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.83911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick55cpaid-82.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No39c610.13$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1322652.7%119 W · 107 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54a…b034backed Yes73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c514$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes71c475.03$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6981651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Yes63c387.3$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes72c381.43$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.433545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No32c374.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2863644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes72c370.32$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.322568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77da…87ebbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes62c297$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.868547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes72c241.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No28c199.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddef…cd67backed Yes50c179.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No38c158.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.064273.8%31 W · 11 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Yes69c152$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.123426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4231226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.859156%51 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes71c123.45$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No29c114.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes71c98.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.593073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89a1…15afbacked No29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe327…c610backed Yes70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No28c84.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.742740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1914446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No28c73.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6716234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2408…9de9backed No30c69.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No29c49.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No33c47.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.693748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…83c0backed Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed Yes72c42.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f43…1754backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb03…2276backed Yes71c41.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fab…01e9backed Yes71c40.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No29c40.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes69c36.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.29944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…6cd8backed Yes72c36.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96888%7 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4966…8714backed Yes72c34.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb4…db3dbacked Yes70c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9897…34e8backed Yes69c29.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d88…53b6backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87cb…67a0backed Yes70c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4a…d456backed Yes71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9d…8388backed Yes73c21.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ca…8903backed Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c4…980fbacked Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…04eabacked Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a83…d4f1backed Yes73c19.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d0…9a6ebacked Yes71c15.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…3e46backed Yes72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d6…851dbacked Yes67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Yes71c14.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.095743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes72c13.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-80.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.