College Football · resolved market
Buffalo vs. UMass
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa478906f21e0532d104c6a63148dceb7b89e130bc1d253093ee225180adefecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffaloof Buffalo, UMass
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,368,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,691,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,368,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed UMass | 11c | 450,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed UMass | 11c | 76,000$8,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,110 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed UMass | 12c | 65,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UMass | 12c | 49,984$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.08 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UMass | 13c | 41,332$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.2 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UMass | 10c | 41,218$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.22 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UMass | 10c | 40,898$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.8 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked UMass | 13c | 38,028$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.68 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed UMass | 30c | 29,651$9,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,036.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UMass | 11c | 28,000$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UMass | 10c | 19,391$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.74 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Buffalo | 64c | 16,083$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.92 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed UMass | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked UMass | 11c | 12,269$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.63 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed UMass | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed UMass | 12c | 9,466$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.92 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed UMass | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked UMass | 13c | 7,620$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.6 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UMass | 11c | 6,962$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Buffalo | 73c | 6,428$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.31 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed UMass | 12c | 6,352$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.24 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UMass | 11c | 3,408$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.89 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UMass | 13c | 2,775$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.71 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed UMass | 40c | 2,517$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UMass | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UMass | 13c | 1,400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Buffalo | 75c | 1,292$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed UMass | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Buffalo | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked UMass | 22c | 994.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed UMass | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked UMass | 32c | 869.51$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.49 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Buffalo | 73c | 590.06$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed UMass | 37c | 556.84$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed UMass | 37c | 533.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Buffalo | 67c | 476.64$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed UMass | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…7a07backed UMass | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Buffalo | 58c | 353.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Buffalo | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Buffalo | 57c | 287.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UMass | 12c | 264.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Buffalo | 79c | 264.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked UMass | 43c | 255$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UMass | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UMass | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed UMass | 12c | 231.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed UMass | 18c | 225.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed UMass | 49c | 202.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed UMass | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed UMass | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked UMass | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…e6c0backed UMass | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Buffalo | 53c | 189.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed UMass | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UMass | 7c | 169.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed UMass | 37c | 164.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked UMass | 11c | 150.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked UMass | 13c | 149.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed UMass | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Buffalo | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Buffalo | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…09f2backed UMass | 13c | 114.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed UMass | 11c | 110.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…7e55backed UMass | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed UMass | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…395dbacked UMass | 43c | 93.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked UMass | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed UMass | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed UMass | 50c | 81.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Buffalo | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…065dbacked Buffalo | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…9d06backed UMass | 51c | 55.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked UMass | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked UMass | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked UMass | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed UMass | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bfe5backed UMass | 32c | 46.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed UMass | 53c | 45.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMass | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…9c2abacked Buffalo | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked UMass | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Buffalo | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1f8fbacked UMass | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…903bbacked UMass | 65c | 34.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…8622backed UMass | 64c | 34.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…e7d8backed UMass | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec1…ab90backed UMass | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…c5c2backed UMass | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…9a91backed UMass | 63c | 26.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Buffalo | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…5a5abacked Buffalo | 69c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…67e1backed Buffalo | 72c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo vs. UMassthis page
- Buffalo vs. UMass: O/U 43.5Over won
- Buffalo vs. UMass: O/U 46.5Over won
- O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Buffalo (-16.5)UMass won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.