TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Buffalo vs. UMass: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5b0…8e17backed Under49c7,017$3,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.33650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under51c1,962$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.2411540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,380$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.192,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacd5…8b82backed Under48c752$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77af…81cfbacked Over51c704$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…a145backed Under48c694$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c42…1836backed Over51c687$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74aa…74c0backed Under48c681$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe39…d4c6backed Over51c656$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb2…31e0backed Under48c656$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c2…93e6backed Over51c631$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x142b…cc77backed Under48c619$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88c…5c90backed Over51c612$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…92d9backed Over51c597$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa241…427cbacked Under48c579$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ed…a7f2backed Under48c563$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe806…b93cbacked Under48c551$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f6…2b06backed Under48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbd…65bcbacked Under48c535$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bc…dbc8backed Under48c529$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb790…8389backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554247.6%20 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x692c…b633backed Under48c453$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1adb…d1ebbacked Over51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25b0…d7a9backed Under48c414$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7737…0dedbacked Under48c405$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb3…0ba3backed Over51c391$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0696…bfb7backed Over51c387$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9262…39dbbacked Over51c386$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…d809backed Over51c342$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x770f…70e0backed Under48c341$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd625…5c2ebacked Over51c319$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…873ebacked Under48c316$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40c…0a05backed Under48c314$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…3bf2backed Under48c297$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f77…5c46backed Over51c296$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…35c3backed Over51c285$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…8384backed Over51c283$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a4…6252backed Under48c282$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c1…c39ebacked Under48c280$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…e0d8backed Over51c277$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…ca24backed Under48c275$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x776d…3271backed Over51c274$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933e…f50cbacked Under48c272$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc0…9a69backed Under48c272$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7b…cf7bbacked Over51c271$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf224…8e2ebacked Under48c269$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177b…d45cbacked Under48c261$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…99afbacked Under48c261$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7a…a43dbacked Under48c261$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6eb…ceabbacked Under48c260$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0532…cbf2backed Under48c259$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd02…811abacked Under48c259$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a78…e450backed Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b4…856abacked Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…ea05backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2e…6e38backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2430…6e1ebacked Over51c248$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…309bbacked Under48c246$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eda…c000backed Under48c245$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda07…7b6fbacked Over51c245$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83f…65debacked Over51c244$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c9…20cabacked Under48c241$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a4…2dfabacked Under48c236$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…6324backed Under48c234$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea0…379dbacked Over51c234$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…e580backed Under48c232$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cab…8df3backed Under48c231$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cf…bb13backed Under48c231$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8c…5671backed Under48c229$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc635…cba4backed Over51c228$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a3…32a7backed Under48c228$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa121…2dfabacked Under48c227$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe921…042fbacked Under48c227$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb1…97d7backed Under48c225$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9336…2b19backed Under48c225$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c1…ace6backed Over51c224$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…f9c8backed Under48c222$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b2…3af2backed Over51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc146…a200backed Over51c221$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad6…4fb7backed Over51c219$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…89cfbacked Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…2434backed Under48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd156…0db0backed Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5616…767bbacked Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e6a…c07ebacked Over51c207$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1912…6831backed Under48c207$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdcf…2ad7backed Over51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ca…7a15backed Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ac…584fbacked Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c3…7318backed Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab0c…85d5backed Over51c204$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…a868backed Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…bc05backed Under48c203$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4308…4ca7backed Over51c202$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…34ecbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…4be3backed Under48c199$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fc…d42abacked Under48c199$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562f…29a1backed Under48c197$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d4…b88cbacked Under48c196$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c75…3217backed Under48c193$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.