College Football · resolved market
Penn State vs. Iowa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ce5ffd4576defef3f90c2e8a7fb88e2a3fb5e0c410ae32c7fcf26d56b152c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowaof Penn State, Iowa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penn State | 41c | 201,231$83,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,303.71 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Iowa | 59c | 102,086$59,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,331.9 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Iowa | 59c | 42,541$24,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,561.02 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…3cbebacked Penn State | 44c | 35,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,249.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Penn State | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Iowa | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Iowa | 54c | 16,502$8,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,589.42 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa | 58c | 15,219$8,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,437.59 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Penn State | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.98 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa | 36c | 13,572$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,632.23 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa | 59c | 11,700$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Iowa | 58c | 11,111$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.62 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Iowa | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Iowa | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Penn State | 64c | 8,559$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.6 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penn State | 55c | 8,079$4,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,472.71 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Iowa | 59c | 7,966$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa | 39c | 7,820$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.98 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Iowa | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Iowa | 58c | 6,539$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.43 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Penn State | 62c | 6,272$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.44 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iowa | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Penn State | 60c | 5,017$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Iowa | 57c | 4,805$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.15 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Iowa | 59c | 4,214$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penn State | 40c | 3,759$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.9 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Iowa | 57c | 3,530$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.69 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Iowa | 59c | 3,345$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.26 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa | 49c | 3,189$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.92 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Iowa | 50c | 2,961$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.33 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa | 57c | 2,643$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.98 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Penn State | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Iowa | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Iowa | 48c | 2,312$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.25 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iowa | 58c | 2,050$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.5 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Iowa | 58c | 1,725$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.64 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa | 30c | 1,650$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.63 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Penn State | 40c | 1,550$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Penn State | 69c | 1,448$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Penn State | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Iowa | 56c | 1,200$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Penn State | 29c | 1,200$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…6feebacked Penn State | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Iowa | 56c | 1,134$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Iowa | 68c | 1,016$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.36 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Iowa | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Penn State | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Penn State | 18c | 931.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…778cbacked Iowa | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Iowa | 40c | 800$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Penn State | 41c | 785.46$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Penn State | 63c | 760$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Iowa | 59c | 727.12$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Iowa | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…5ba9backed Penn State | 43c | 656.83$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Iowa | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed Penn State | 51c | 578.17$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa | 57c | 528$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.13 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Iowa | 42c | 507$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa | 59c | 501$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Iowa | 31c | 479.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Iowa | 45c | 400$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Penn State | 40c | 380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Penn State | 42c | 366.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa | 58c | 306.63$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Iowa | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Iowa | 58c | 291.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Iowa | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Penn State | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Iowa | 50c | 254.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Penn State | 74c | 245$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Iowa | 58c | 240.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…2b8cbacked Penn State | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Penn State | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Penn State | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Iowa | 33c | 237.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Iowa | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…ed8dbacked Penn State | 44c | 224.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Iowa | 59c | 218.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Penn State | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…bb9abacked Iowa | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Penn State | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Penn State | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Iowa | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Iowa | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Iowa | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Penn State | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Penn State | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa | 16c | 138$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Iowa | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…e964backed Penn State | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Penn State | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Iowa | 56c | 111.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Iowa | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Penn State | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Penn State | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Penn State | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State vs. Iowathis page
- O/U 39.5Over won
- Penn State vs. Iowa: O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa (-2.5)Penn State won
- Spread: Iowa (-3.5)Penn State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.