NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3728ec5eb9fcd48918ac5bdb360a0d3b550dc54c57c8fe9a14741648b59bcab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Bulls | 34c | 5,933$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Bucks | 65c | 5,108$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.2 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Bucks | 50c | 5,020$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.41 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bulls | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Bulls | 53c | 3,846$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 19c | 3,629$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.67 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bucks | 52c | 2,842$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.2 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Bulls | 51c | 2,460$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 44c | 1,980$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.96 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bucks | 48c | 1,925$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.43 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bucks | 64c | 1,634$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.25 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Bucks | 71c | 1,397$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 49c | 1,302$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 39c | 1,176$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.85 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,104$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bucks | 63c | 1,104$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.13 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 59c | 1,067$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.84 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,040$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.74 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Bulls | 37c | 1,032$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.75 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 26c | 1,032$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Bulls | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 60c | 995$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Bulls | 5c | 940$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 1c | 881$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Bulls | 39c | 830$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bulls | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Bucks | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Bulls | 38c | 650.76$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Bucks | 47c | 639.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.14 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Bucks | 61c | 599.56$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.11 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Bulls | 25c | 555$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Bulls | 44c | 465.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Bucks | 49c | 398.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…05bdbacked Bulls | 41c | 395.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Bulls | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls | 25c | 390.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…eb2dbacked Bucks | 48c | 379.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Bucks | 79c | 347$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bulls | 32c | 344.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 61c | 334.18$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Bulls | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Bulls | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bucks | 59c | 279.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bulls | 26c | 276.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…c9ffbacked Bucks | 63c | 270$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 45c | 249$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Bucks | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 44c | 212.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…b903backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…8f43backed Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…1698backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…bd7bbacked Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3d87backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…23c5backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Bucks | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…0232backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…bfeebacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…13efbacked Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…d992backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…64a7backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…eb71backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…e1ddbacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e23fbacked Bulls | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…a26cbacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…6d7dbacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…37e9backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6830…32f5backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…80bbbacked Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1349backed Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…a39abacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…499fbacked Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…bb21backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…1f66backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…cd49backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…b354backed Bucks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Bullsthis page
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.