College Football · resolved market
Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Badgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2206ae8673f2233ff9419dc0b0d12e67c044e260e78a71856fa05aebdee007bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $569,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 110,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 71,422$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.45 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 49,350$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.88 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 38,888$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.85 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 38,281$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.24 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 33,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 29,686$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 20,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 8,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…6f72backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 5,714$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 4,022$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 3,864$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 0c | 3,690$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 2,222$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…9508backed Wisconsin Badgers | 3c | 1,714$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…eb54backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 1,713$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 824.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 776.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Wisconsin Badgers | 2c | 653.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 582$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 579.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 554.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 428$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…c13ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 396.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…77d6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed Wisconsin Badgers | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 5c | 256.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Badgersthis page
- Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-25.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-27.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.