College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State (-25.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e2d221e85cccedf34c206533a89a8ff37a97924e87d584f938fb885a26bdfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ohio State | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 16,444$8,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,222.02 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 6,550$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Ohio State | 50c | 1,014$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.95 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 711.6$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.36 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ohio State | 53c | 696$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wisconsin Badgers | 53c | 552.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.01 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ohio State | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 203.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…947ebacked Ohio State | 49c | 119.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 103.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Ohio State | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Ohio State | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Wisconsin Badgers | 55c | 40.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 53c | 28.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State (-25.5)this page
- Ohio State vs. Wisconsin BadgersOhio State won
- Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-27.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.