NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb66126ef6846fe8d3ab18b3ea4c89cd7084ecf4123f2e80578aec4c37d423cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Jets, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 11,129$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.98 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…61ebbacked Jets | 46c | 10,021$4,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…759abacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 10,001$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 7,615$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 7,476$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,198$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.63 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 4,434$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Jets | 47c | 4,394$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,567$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.96 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 2,882$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.12 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Jets | 49c | 2,867$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Maple Leafs | 10c | 2,211$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ea2fbacked Jets | 49c | 2,116$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,607$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.61 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…9a92backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,606$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…7a8dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,603$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…0dc9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,557$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Jets | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f704backed Jets | 47c | 1,435$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Jets | 50c | 1,407$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.78 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,366$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Jets | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,280$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 1,207$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,159$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 1,054$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…99c4backed Jets | 50c | 1,003$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Jets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…304fbacked Jets | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jets | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Jets | 46c | 940.57$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 876.44$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.88 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 804.8$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.55 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Jets | 49c | 744.13$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.13 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 685.32$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Jets | 46c | 674.19$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.64 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Jets | 78c | 650.2$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…d709backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 595.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Jets | 48c | 595.73$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Jets | 71c | 584.89$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…fc70backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 564.25$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…9072backed Jets | 50c | 564$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Jets | 48c | 533.1$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…60f6backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 492.13$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Jets | 69c | 448.25$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jets | 48c | 405.41$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…3e05backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 25c | 343.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Jets | 73c | 335.51$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc166…98bfbacked Jets | 49c | 335$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jets | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…cae9backed Jets | 70c | 286.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…cc30backed Jets | 48c | 253.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 253.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…b823backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…ce1ebacked Jets | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…f21cbacked Jets | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets | 47c | 242.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c9…4032backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 235.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…f0c3backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 230.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Jets | 48c | 225.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 225.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 220.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…8e4cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 220.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…2785backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 216.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…d626backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 216.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1177…773cbacked Jets | 49c | 216.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c5…2195backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 216.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…a62abacked Jets | 49c | 215.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…8ca9backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 214.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…1873backed Jets | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…9b29backed Jets | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…b48ebacked Jets | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…2106backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 214.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093e…0c34backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 213.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…88b3backed Jets | 50c | 213.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…1fd9backed Jets | 50c | 213.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Jets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee9…b102backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 212.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…2d2cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 212.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…0c94backed Jets | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…5e1bbacked Jets | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7354…3c30backed Jets | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaf…942abacked Jets | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…16cdbacked Jets | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…a441backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 212.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…d9a4backed Jets | 49c | 212$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…a4eebacked Jets | 49c | 211.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…dbf5backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 211.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…78b0backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 211.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…01b3backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…c9bdbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 211.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…969dbacked Jets | 49c | 211.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa673…35dfbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 210.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.