NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9294506f6ee31a444b8a342779ab3cd478dac6943de926289420031701ab58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Kraken, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 39c | 5,945$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.06 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Oilers | 49c | 3,647$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.05 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kraken | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 39c | 3,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Oilers | 73c | 2,724$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.52 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Kraken | 35c | 2,316$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…1988backed Oilers | 72c | 2,224$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…c8d4backed Kraken | 28c | 2,224$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Oilers | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.7 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Kraken | 27c | 2,063$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Oilers | 74c | 2,038$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3b72backed Oilers | 72c | 1,846$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Kraken | 28c | 1,846$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Kraken | 48c | 1,842$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.81 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,823$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.52 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aac…46a0backed Oilers | 75c | 1,814$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed Oilers | 72c | 1,720$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…c73dbacked Kraken | 28c | 1,720$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Oilers | 59c | 1,617$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.4 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…482abacked Oilers | 72c | 1,557$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…8181backed Kraken | 28c | 1,557$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…1d11backed Kraken | 36c | 1,387$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Kraken | 39c | 1,153$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Kraken | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 73c | 1,094$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.36 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Oilers | 73c | 1,040$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken | 26c | 1,008$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.07 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kraken | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.4 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 26c | 999.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Kraken | 27c | 977.69$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 64c | 935$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Oilers | 49c | 922.58$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.52 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…72b5backed Oilers | 73c | 895.7$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…ce1ebacked Oilers | 72c | 859.48$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…2cb4backed Kraken | 28c | 859.48$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8f39backed Kraken | 28c | 770.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…5456backed Oilers | 72c | 770.54$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 26c | 742.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken | 26c | 686.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Oilers | 74c | 608.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Oilers | 49c | 566.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.11 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken | 31c | 532.84$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…23cebacked Oilers | 75c | 528.76$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed Kraken | 28c | 518.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Oilers | 72c | 518.32$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 32c | 506.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 75c | 500$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…3290backed Oilers | 68c | 463.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Oilers | 72c | 453.35$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Oilers | 49c | 453.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db5…d06fbacked Oilers | 74c | 442.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…bde1backed Oilers | 74c | 426.21$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…d568backed Kraken | 28c | 424.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…8692backed Oilers | 75c | 417.31$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kraken | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Oilers | 24c | 367$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Kraken | 28c | 355$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…0eb4backed Oilers | 73c | 339.73$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Kraken | 29c | 337.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Kraken | 28c | 325.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…4845backed Oilers | 72c | 325.03$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kraken | 28c | 322.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Kraken | 7c | 319.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Oilers | 73c | 312.37$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…b2f4backed Oilers | 73c | 305$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kraken | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…0e3cbacked Kraken | 29c | 270.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Oilers | 74c | 267.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…012dbacked Kraken | 27c | 253.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…318ebacked Oilers | 73c | 253.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…e4a4backed Kraken | 27c | 252.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…0c10backed Oilers | 73c | 252$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…01c6backed Kraken | 27c | 246.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 42c | 228.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Oilers | 60c | 219.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…e9e3backed Oilers | 73c | 218.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Oilers | 42c | 217.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Oilers | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…3d0ebacked Oilers | 72c | 204.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Oilers | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Kraken | 26c | 189.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kraken | 25c | 189.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Oilers | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…74b4backed Kraken | 27c | 154.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Oilers | 63c | 153.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…1b3cbacked Kraken | 27c | 149.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7745backed Oilers | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Oilers | 74c | 135.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Oilers | 74c | 134.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Kraken | 27c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…9ccdbacked Oilers | 73c | 122.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Oilers | 73c | 118.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…9b82backed Oilers | 74c | 118.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…585fbacked Kraken | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 27c | 115.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kraken | 29c | 101.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Kraken | 28c | 100.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.