TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$363,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$394,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Rockies37c189,005$69,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,931.7717652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Giants63c108,024$68,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,968.8415353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants63c80,000$50,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,60038043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Giants67c21,601$14,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.961,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Giants76c16,712$12,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.7233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies35c11,170$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.421,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies10c10,872$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.781,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Giants65c8,400$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94013065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Giants63c7,965$5,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.9825453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockies34c6,600$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.7614747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies7c6,503$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.692,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies37c6,150$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.4463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Giants64c5,225$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88111456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Rockies35c5,021$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.342050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Rockies29c4,829$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.3510143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies37c4,325$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.241,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Giants71c3,505$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.716747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Giants65c3,254$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.91145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Giants69c3,225$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.6424154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies36c3,180$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.562,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rockies1c3,044$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9240629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Rockies32c2,643$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.4621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Giants64c2,571$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.3795850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Giants66c2,088$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.8519742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants64c1,982$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rockies22c1,965$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.0715033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Rockies52c1,786$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.783046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Giants64c1,523$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Rockies36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies31c1,225$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.731,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Giants67c1,088$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.149842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockies3c1,030$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.278445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rockies35c1,028$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies13c1,000$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.72,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Rockies36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36014446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Giants64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36032651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Rockies36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3545…741dbacked Giants71c946.9$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.412030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Giants66c910.8$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.916038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies33c909$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.971,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rockies18c884$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1245248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Rockies36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c47…970ebacked Giants69c723.07$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants76c711.39$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Giants56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30813359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Rockies35c699.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9920748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Giants64c699.39$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.014843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rockies2c625$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies35c571.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Giants66c566$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.441,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Giants65c550$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies22c528.11$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Giants64c520$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.227751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies16c510$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Rockies36c486.11$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0e…9012backed Giants65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.541855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…dfeebacked Giants69c432.26$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1342788.9%24 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+30.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies32c428.32$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Giants45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22018649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Rockies3c377.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.832832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Giants64c369.66$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies23c360.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6733137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Rockies12c345.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.643737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Giants65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.696149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rockies33c300$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419d…7817backed Giants72c300$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.952661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Giants65c295$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.255947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Rockies36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked Rockies36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies6c274$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.594754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants65c264.03$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8473149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Giants65c261.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.544856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies33c260.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants65c257.73$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.211,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Giants68c257.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3554455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Giants65c250$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8835245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies13c238$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.281,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockies36c226$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3e…e822backed Rockies36c222.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies36c222$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9224346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Giants64c220$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rockies15c220$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6447745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Rockies36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants56c199.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.419,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rockies31c178.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5670841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies36c163.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Giants64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Giants64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Giants64c155$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.87663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Giants65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8512459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Giants68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Giants78c145.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6721656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.