MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d45d601e1cdf29a74a5b1375c2b090343680376282cb12f8feff19d1f57780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 31c | 389,353$120,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,699.37 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 69c | 114,250$78,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,417.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 69c | 113,707$78,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,249.17 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 69c | 63,161$43,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,633.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 69c | 54,444$37,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,032.62 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 69c | 28,000$19,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 68c | 19,531$13,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 69c | 16,789$11,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 32c | 16,427$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.08 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockies | 32c | 11,680$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.17 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies | 31c | 6,839$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.11 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 1c | 5,530$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Rockies | 33c | 5,009$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 69c | 4,098$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 68c | 3,571$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.8 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Padres | 69c | 3,200$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rockies | 32c | 2,563$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.16 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Padres | 70c | 2,049$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.7 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 70c | 1,831$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockies | 31c | 1,676$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.47 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 32c | 1,322$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.04 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies | 32c | 1,067$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Rockies | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 68c | 999.95$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Padres | 69c | 960$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 10c | 792$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 32c | 730$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 31c | 532.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Rockies | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rockies | 10c | 477$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Rockies | 15c | 459.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rockies | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 76c | 349$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 70c | 330.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rockies | 32c | 316.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies | 32c | 312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 68c | 260.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 68c | 220.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 69c | 216.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rockies | 33c | 215.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 5c | 212$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Padres | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…c13dbacked Rockies | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Rockies | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 25c | 183$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Padres | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rockies | 32c | 173.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 32c | 170.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 68c | 146.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Rockies | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Rockies | 31c | 109.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…5503backed Rockies | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Padres | 68c | 74.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Padres | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockies | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 32c | 64.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Rockies | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…dddebacked Rockies | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Padres | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…0d6dbacked Padres | 70c | 53.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…4ad6backed Rockies | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…e535backed Rockies | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Padres | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 66c | 48.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Padres | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Rockies | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Padres | 67c | 39.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rockies | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Rockies | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Rockies | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…8cfebacked Rockies | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…1458backed Rockies | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Padres | 68c | 30.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Padres | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…a250backed Padres | 69c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.