MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6465456427651f81f8aebad1a2e621b77bf307fe1e0869f177c0d68c50d818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Tigers, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 38c | 11,938$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,446.93 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers | 53c | 10,447$5,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 44c | 9,624$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 22c | 9,623$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 50c | 8,127$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.9 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Marlins | 58c | 5,069$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.98 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Marlins | 46c | 5,010$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.39 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Tigers | 54c | 4,111$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers | 61c | 3,628$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.85 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 58c | 3,597$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.13 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Tigers | 53c | 3,409$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.45 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Marlins | 60c | 3,345$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 54c | 3,077$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 61c | 2,355$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.23 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 45c | 2,030$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.5 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Marlins | 62c | 1,639$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.71 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Tigers | 42c | 1,395$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 53c | 1,359$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Marlins | 38c | 1,320$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Marlins | 39c | 1,291$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.96 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tigers | 62c | 1,214$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.49 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.01 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Marlins | 44c | 895$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.97 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 672 | 48.5%326 W · 346 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Tigers | 54c | 741$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers | 54c | 740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers | 54c | 699$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.46 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Marlins | 55c | 689.71$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.97 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 38c | 616.2$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.69 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Marlins | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Tigers | 65c | 546.06$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Tigers | 64c | 501.56$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 46c | 500.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Marlins | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 46c | 486.07$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 46c | 485.15$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 1,091 | 46.3%505 W · 586 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers | 66c | 480$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Tigers | 55c | 448.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 46c | 440.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.35 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Marlins | 47c | 427$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Tigers | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Marlins | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 35c | 424$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.6 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Tigers | 48c | 417.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 45c | 397.65$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Marlins | 40c | 390.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 48c | 386.41$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 37c | 386$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Marlins | 52c | 271.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Marlins | 33c | 263.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 46c | 258.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 1,057 | 50.4%533 W · 524 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 64c | 258$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tigers | 41c | 256.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Tigers | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 60c | 237.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Tigers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 47c | 221.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Tigers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Marlins | 46c | 216.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 43c | 216.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Marlins | 58c | 211.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Tigers | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Tigers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Tigers | 54c | 198.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…a1d1backed Tigers | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Tigers | 54c | 183.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 47c | 157$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Tigers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tigers | 40c | 141$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Tigers | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Tigers | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Marlins | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Marlins | 49c | 120.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 36c | 119.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Tigers | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Marlins | 61c | 103.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Tigers | 53c | 98.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Tigers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Tigers | 67c | 91.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Marlins | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Marlins | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Tigers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Tigers | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Marlins | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Tigers | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Tigers | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…1a71backed Marlins | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Marlins | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Marlins | 36c | 70.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Marlinsthis page
- Tigers vs. Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.