MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3ddee12e68c8fecad7b03d23c234d2225c59d82def13050ffdd4ec72833121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f1f…f9c9backed Reds | 46c | 19,300$8,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,422 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Reds | 67c | 18,966$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.8 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 54c | 17,277$9,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,248.01 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Reds | 46c | 14,107$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,617.53 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 54c | 10,553$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.85 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 22c | 9,679$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.63 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 46c | 8,470$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.8 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 53c | 7,152$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.48 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Brewers | 31c | 5,939$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.94 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Reds | 46c | 5,006$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Brewers | 31c | 4,888$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Brewers | 54c | 4,560$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.4 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Brewers | 54c | 4,106$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Reds | 74c | 3,687$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers | 56c | 3,551$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.6 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 18c | 3,105$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Brewers | 18c | 2,944$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.33 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Brewers | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Brewers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Brewers | 54c | 1,895$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.24 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Reds | 46c | 1,769$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.44 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers | 2c | 1,622$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,520$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.39 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Reds | 46c | 1,500$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 12c | 1,170$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 53c | 1,078$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.17 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 45c | 1,064$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.3 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.05 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Brewers | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Reds | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Brewers | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brewers | 23c | 938.6$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Brewers | 6c | 795.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Brewers | 13c | 786.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 24c | 743.87$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 28c | 717.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Brewers | 13c | 711.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 47c | 643.64$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.13 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 56c | 596$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.76 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 8c | 551.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 64c | 527$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…da32backed Brewers | 54c | 509.26$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Brewers | 4c | 478.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Reds | 48c | 416.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Brewers | 55c | 405.49$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Reds | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 44c | 384.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.34 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Brewers | 29c | 372.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Brewers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 57c | 322$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Brewers | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Brewers | 7c | 296.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…107dbacked Brewers | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 63c | 282.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Brewers | 11c | 266.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Reds | 47c | 219.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 44c | 211$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 48c | 205.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Brewers | 7c | 190.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Brewers | 25c | 178.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Brewers | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Reds | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Brewers | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Brewers | 34c | 145.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Brewers | 15c | 134.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Brewers | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 55c | 129$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers | 56c | 109.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Brewers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Reds | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Reds | 45c | 96.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 44c | 94.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Brewers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 58c | 86.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Reds | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…a245backed Reds | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Brewers | 54c | 78.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Reds | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Brewers | 56c | 76.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Brewers | 54c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Brewers | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Brewers | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…1458backed Reds | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…8d2ebacked Reds | 57c | 54.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…708cbacked Brewers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Brewers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Brewers | 57c | 53.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Reds | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Brewersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.