MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07329129f93a3dfea5b4403005cdf5fe0601f2ff25badab47fd7abbad6f46e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Orioles, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 45c | 44,440$19,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,998.01 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 55c | 37,500$20,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,875 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 45c | 25,927$11,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,667.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 55c | 15,232$8,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,854.4 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 55c | 10,131$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.07 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…9defbacked Phillies | 57c | 5,261$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…769dbacked Phillies | 57c | 4,735$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…ac3cbacked Orioles | 43c | 4,650$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b4…230bbacked Orioles | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 43c | 2,669$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.82 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…0b9cbacked Orioles | 43c | 2,327$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 11c | 2,203$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.78 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 55c | 2,148$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.66 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 56c | 2,108$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.44 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…8274backed Orioles | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Orioles | 44c | 2,065$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 14c | 2,057$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…e6c2backed Phillies | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…09fbbacked Phillies | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…5e48backed Orioles | 43c | 1,930$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Orioles | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 55c | 1,817$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 5c | 1,710$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 45c | 1,626$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.79 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Phillies | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orioles | 37c | 1,400$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.07 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 56c | 1,332$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.74 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 58c | 1,319$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.15 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,245$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.64 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…74bdbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,237$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…e22fbacked Orioles | 43c | 1,232$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 44c | 1,223$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.82 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…31a7backed Orioles | 43c | 1,198$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…311cbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,193$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Orioles | 43c | 1,146$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.68 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Orioles | 43c | 1,143$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.57 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 42c | 1,089$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.54 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 55c | 1,057$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…88fdbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 56c | 999.98$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Phillies | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 58c | 990.26$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.91 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 68c | 965.43$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Orioles | 28c | 936.13$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…8d36backed Phillies | 57c | 930$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 58c | 896.32$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.46 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Orioles | 44c | 879$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 56c | 849.94$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…93abbacked Orioles | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…de6bbacked Orioles | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Phillies | 57c | 799.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Orioles | 43c | 761.02$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.24 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 60c | 760.63$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…3d34backed Phillies | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Orioles | 43c | 575$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 56c | 550$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Phillies | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…0cfdbacked Phillies | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Orioles | 43c | 429$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 56c | 423.86$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 44c | 396$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Orioles | 44c | 390.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 42c | 387.89$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Phillies | 68c | 369.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Phillies | 57c | 333$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 69c | 323.46$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 42c | 313.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Phillies | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…c0f2backed Orioles | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 55c | 274.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 58c | 273.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Phillies | 56c | 271.18$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 44c | 224.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 55c | 219.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…521fbacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 44c | 199.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 43c | 183.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Orioles | 39c | 142.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Orioles | 43c | 134.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Phillies | 55c | 133$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Phillies | 57c | 124.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.