TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Cubs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Braves, Cubs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs58c93,493$54,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,179.0838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves42c34,128$14,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,794.031,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves42c31,417$13,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,221.8663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves42c23,500$9,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,629.9822852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Cubs76c13,170$9,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99411345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs50c10,792$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.041,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cubs3c8,000$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27293240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves25c5,390$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,025.472,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b0…be26backed Cubs75c5,056$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Braves42c5,020$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.592050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Braves43c4,286$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.97663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Braves42c3,810$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.741,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Cubs58c3,621$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves42c2,658$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.822,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves30c2,295$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.641,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Cubs23c2,008$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.221246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs69c1,869$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.8133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Braves41c1,850$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.4650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cubs71c1,703$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2099,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves42c1,668$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.0521747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Cubs58c1,605$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.635248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Braves28c1,360$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.783951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Braves42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4728042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Cubs20c1,033$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.531643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Braves41c1,019$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.1824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Braves42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5807247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Braves42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5809842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Braves27c963.84$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.7315033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Braves43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2365248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Braves42c700$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40620748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves43c625.72$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.311,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Cubs18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Braves31c533$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs59c508$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.721,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Cubs58c500.02$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5522142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Cubs69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34513359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Braves41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Braves42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs57c439.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.321,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Cubs77c430.4$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4121656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Braves43c410.61$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.615742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs58c405$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.951953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Braves24c402$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5214328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs60c392.42$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4512558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Braves41c349.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0e…9012backed Cubs58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Braves41c339.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4144443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Cubs57c299.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Cubs59c299.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9940152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Cubs69c289.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves46c274.3$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.624,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Cubs59c249.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4912152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Braves41c244.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.541,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Braves41c244$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9617946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked Braves43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Cubs59c220.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Cubs59c206.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Braves35c204.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1713355.6%74 W · 59 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Cubs59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11817243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Cubs59c194.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11578454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Braves31c179.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.536,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Cubs58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Cubs58c170.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.884055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cubs58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8735245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cubs57c144.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2373352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Cubs70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Braves42c140.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Cubs58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Cubs59c135$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6524346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Braves43c129.79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.981,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Cubs59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Braves29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5969547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Braves33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6756440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Cubs10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109639.6%38 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4d…67a5backed Cubs58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812352.8%65 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Braves41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5649348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Braves43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0214146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Cubs59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe708…e61cbacked Cubs60c83.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves41c82.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7143949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74a1…7d64backed Cubs58c79.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked Cubs59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a1…44cebacked Cubs59c65.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…e355backed Braves42c64.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Braves30c54.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4633137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Braves42c53.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Cubs60c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.89254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8d…83bfbacked Braves43c52.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e85…73d6backed Cubs59c52.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3015…85c3backed Braves42c51.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves65c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.656,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Braves41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7814450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Braves42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.134257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.